Value bet: Jagiellonia to win @ 3.70 – our chance 35% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +31%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLevski Sofia to win ✓44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.37
Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Levski Sofia host Jagiellonia in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 5 November, kicking off at 18:45 WAT at Vasil Levski National Stadium. Levski Sofia sit 10th with 7 points from 4 games (in the top half), while Jagiellonia are 29th on 3 (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Levski Sofia – form over the last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Dunav Ruse 1–0 on the road. They score 1.5 and concede 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Jagiellonia – form over the last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Wieczysta Kraków 3–1 on the road. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.2 goals a game – a real threat going forward.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Levski Sofia 1.5 – 1.3 Jagiellonia in expected goals – roughly 2.7 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 51% for over 2.5, 59% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Levski Sofia 44% · draw 21% · Jagiellonia 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Jagiellonia to win at 3.70 – we make it 35%, the price implies 27%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Levski Sofia 1–1 Jagiellonia. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Levski Sofia44%fair 2.30 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.50
Jagiellonia35%fair 2.82 · @3.70
2.73Expected goals
1.45Levski Sofia xG
1.28Jagiellonia xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: Levski Sofia 1.5 – 1.3 Jagiellonia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Levski Sofia to win✓
44%
2.30
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.70
Draw no bet
Levski Sofia (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Jagiellonia +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.91
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.12
First team to score
Levski Sofia to score first✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Levski Sofia / FT Levski Sofia✗
24%
4.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.37
–
Recent results
Levski Sofia – last 6
WDWWDW
31 Oct
@ Dunav Ruse
1–0
W
27 Oct
@ Arda Kardzhali
1–1
D
22 Oct
@ Plzen
2–1
W
18 Oct
@ Spartak Pleven
2–0
W
15 Oct
@ NEC Nijmegen
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Cherno More Varna
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Jagiellonia – last 6
WWWLLW
31 Oct
@ Wieczysta Kraków
3–1
W
28 Oct
@ Lechia Gdansk
6–0
W
25 Oct
vs Wisla Plock
1–0
W
22 Oct
vs Anderlecht
0–3
L
18 Oct
@ Zaglebie Lubin
0–1
L
15 Oct
vs Ararat-Armenia
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Levski Sofia and Jagiellonia.
What is the prediction for Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia?
On our numbers Levski Sofia have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Jagiellonia 35%.
How many goals will there be in Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia?
Our predicted score is Levski Sofia 1–1 Jagiellonia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia?
Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Vasil Levski National Stadium.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
