AZ Alkmaar 21%Draw 22%Juventus 57%Expected goals 1.10 – 1.93
79%
ZoraTips pick
Juventus or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
2
Value bet: Juventus to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultJuventus to win ✓57% · @1.95
Double chanceJuventus or draw ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.10
AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is AZ Alkmaar v Juventus in the UEFA Europa League – Thursday 5 November, 21:00 WAT, AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar）. AZ Alkmaar sit 14th with 6 points from 4 games (in the top half), while Juventus are 5th on 10 (in the top half).
Form guide
AZ Alkmaar – form over the last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Ajax 0–1 on the road. They score 1.3 and concede 1.3 per game.
Juventus – form over the last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Napoli 2–0 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 1.3 per game.
On form, Juventus have the edge: 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model projects AZ Alkmaar 1.1 – 1.9 Juventus in expected goals – roughly 3.0 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 56% for over 2.5 goals, 58% for GG.
Betting angles
Match result chances: AZ Alkmaar 21% · draw 22% · Juventus 57%.
Safer play: Juventus or draw (79%) at 1.30.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Juventus to win at 1.95 – we make it 57%, the price implies 51%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Juventus or draw, rated at 79% confidence at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.27, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Juventus. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
AZ Alkmaar21%fair 4.69 · @3.60
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.75
Juventus57%fair 1.77 · @1.95
3.03Expected goals
1.10AZ Alkmaar xG
1.93Juventus xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–36%
0–36%
From our goals model: AZ Alkmaar 1.1 – 1.9 Juventus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juventus to win✓
57%
1.77
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Juventus or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.67
Draw no bet
Juventus (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
AZ Alkmaar +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.14
First team to score
Juventus to score first✓
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Juventus ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juventus / FT Juventus✓
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
AZ Alkmaar – last 6
LLWDWL
31 Oct
@ Ajax
0–1
L
25 Oct
vs Twente
0–2
L
22 Oct
@ Ararat-Armenia
4–0
W
18 Oct
@ Cambuur
2–2
D
15 Oct
vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
2–1
W
10 Oct
@ Feyenoord
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Juventus – last 6
WLWDLW
1 Nov
vs Napoli
2–0
W
28 Oct
@ Genoa
0–2
L
25 Oct
@ Lecce
2–0
W
22 Oct
vs Rennes
2–2
D
18 Oct
vs Lazio
0–3
L
15 Oct
@ Celta Vigo
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AZ Alkmaar and Juventus.
What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus?
Our pick is Juventus or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus?
On our numbers AZ Alkmaar have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Juventus 57%.
How many goals will there be in AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus?
Our predicted score is AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Juventus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus?
AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar）.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
