Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.30 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.30Odds
Picks by market
ResultBayer Leverkusen to win ✗67% · @1.30
Double chanceBayer Leverkusen or draw ✗88% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Bayer Leverkusen host Marseille in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 5 November, kicking off at 21:00 WAT at BayArena. Bayer Leverkusen sit 7th with 9 points from 4 games (in the top half), while Marseille are 31st on 3 (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Bayer Leverkusen – form over the last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to VfB Stuttgart 2–4 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. 2.5 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.
Marseille – form over the last 5: WWLWL Most recently they beat Toulouse 2–0 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.2 goals a game – a real threat going forward.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Bayer Leverkusen 2.2 – 0.8 Marseille in expected goals – roughly 3.1 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 64% likely and both teams score 58% of the time.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Bayer Leverkusen 67% · draw 21% · Marseille 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.67.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Bayer Leverkusen to win, rated at 67% confidence at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 Marseille. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Bayer Leverkusen67%fair 1.48 · @1.30
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @6.00
Marseille12%fair 8.39 · @8.00
3.05Expected goals
2.21Bayer Leverkusen xG
0.84Marseille xG
58%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Bayer Leverkusen 2.2 – 0.8 Marseille expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bayer Leverkusen to win✗
67%
1.48
1.30
Double chance
Bayer Leverkusen or draw✗
88%
1.14
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.67
Draw no bet
Bayer Leverkusen (draw no bet)✗
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Bayer Leverkusen -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.80
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.33
First team to score
Bayer Leverkusen to score first✗
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Bayer Leverkusen ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bayer Leverkusen / FT Bayer Leverkusen✗
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.28
–
Recent results
Bayer Leverkusen – last 6
LWLWWW
31 Oct
vs VfB Stuttgart
2–4
L
28 Oct
vs 1. FC Nürnberg
5–2
W
25 Oct
@ 1899 Hoffenheim
0–3
L
22 Oct
@ OFI
2–0
W
18 Oct
vs SC Freiburg
2–1
W
15 Oct
@ Lech Poznan
4–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Marseille – last 6
WWLWLW
1 Nov
vs Toulouse
2–0
W
25 Oct
vs Le Havre
4–3
W
22 Oct
@ Sturm Graz
0–1
L
18 Oct
@ Angers
5–2
W
15 Oct
vs Olympiakos Piraeus
0–1
L
11 Oct
@ Estac Troyes
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bayer Leverkusen and Marseille.
What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille?
Our pick is Bayer Leverkusen to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille?
On our numbers Bayer Leverkusen have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Marseille 12%.
How many goals will there be in Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille?
Our predicted score is Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 Marseille, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille?
Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille (UEFA Europa League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at BayArena.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
