Wed 11 Nov

Swindon Town v Grimsby: numbers & prediction

League Two · England · County Ground
Sat 14 Nov 2026

Grimsby

LDWWD
Swindon Town 23%Draw 14%Grimsby 63% Expected goals 0.96 – 1.89
63%
ZoraTips pick

Grimsby to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.95

6/10Rating
1.95Odds

Picks by market

ResultGrimsby to win63% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win86% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.08

Swindon Town vs Grimsby prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

League Two action on Saturday 14 November: Swindon Town take on Grimsby at County Ground from 16:00 WAT. Swindon Town sit 13th with 19 points from 14 games (in the bottom half), while Grimsby are 6th on 20 (in the top half). The gap is just 1 point, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Swindon Town – form over the last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Plymouth 1–2 on the road. They score 1.3 and concede 1.2 per game.

Grimsby – form over the last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Nottingham Forest U21 0–3 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.2 goals a game – a real threat going forward.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Swindon Town 1.0 – 1.9 Grimsby in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 56% for over 2.5, 60% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Swindon Town 23% · draw 14% · Grimsby 63%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.53.

ZoraTips prediction

ZoraTips tip: Grimsby to win, rated at 63% confidence at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.58, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Swindon Town 0–1 Grimsby. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Swindon Town23%fair 4.41 · @3.25
Draw14%fair 7.09 · @3.70
Grimsby63%fair 1.58 · @1.95
2.85Expected goals
0.96Swindon Town xG
1.89Grimsby xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–111%
1–110%
0–210%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%

From our goals model: Swindon Town 1.0 – 1.9 Grimsby expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGrimsby to win63%1.581.95 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win86%1.161.28 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score60%1.671.53
Draw no betGrimsby (draw no bet)74%1.36–
Asian handicapSwindon Town +1.5 (Asian handicap)65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals78%1.271.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals56%1.781.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals65%1.531.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals81%1.231.20
First team to scoreGrimsby to score first63%1.60–
Half-time resultGrimsby ahead at half-time43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Grimsby / FT Grimsby37%2.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210%10.08–

Recent results

Swindon Town – last 6

LLWDWD
10 Nov@ Plymouth1–2L
7 Nov@ Milton Keynes Dons1–2L
31 Octvs Rotherham2–1W
24 Oct@ Bristol Rovers0–0D
20 Oct@ Barnet3–1W
17 Octvs Walsall1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Grimsby – last 6

LDWWDL
10 Novvs Nottingham Forest U210–3L
7 Nov@ Stafford Rangers2–2D
31 Octvs York5–2W
24 Oct@ Gillingham4–1W
20 Oct@ Rochdale2–2D
17 Octvs Northampton0–2L
2.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Swindon Town and Grimsby.

Swindon Town vs Grimsby head-to-head page →

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford City141013+1031
2Barnet13751+1026
3Walsall13571+922
4Crewe14572022
5Cheltenham14635-221
6Grimsby14554+620
7York14554+320
8Gillingham14554+120
9Accrington ST14473+619
10Chesterfield14545+319
11Tranmere14473+219
12Exeter City14545+219
13Swindon Town14545-219
14Newport County14464+318
15Shrewsbury14536-518
16Fleetwood Town14455017
17Bristol Rovers14518-616
18Oldham14437-415
19Port Vale12435-415
20Rochdale14437-915
21Northampton13355-114
22Rotherham14266-712
23Colchester13265-712
24Crawley Town12237-89

More League Two predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Swindon Town vs Grimsby?

Our pick is Grimsby to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Swindon Town vs Grimsby?

On our numbers Swindon Town have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Grimsby 63%.

How many goals will there be in Swindon Town vs Grimsby?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Swindon Town vs Grimsby?

Our predicted score is Swindon Town 0–1 Grimsby, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Swindon Town vs Grimsby?

Swindon Town vs Grimsby (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at County Ground.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.