Port Vale 59%Draw 22%Accrington ST 19%Expected goals 1.67 – 0.80
81%
ZoraTips pick
Port Vale or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Port Vale to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultPort Vale to win59% · @1.85
Double chancePort Vale or draw81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.58
Port Vale vs Accrington ST prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Port Vale v Accrington ST in the League Two – Saturday 14 November, 16:00 WAT, Vale Park. Port Vale sit 19th with 15 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Accrington ST are 9th on 19 (in the top half).
Form guide
Port Vale – form over the last 5: WWWLD Most recently they beat Scunthorpe 4–2 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are averaging 2.5 goals a game – a real threat going forward.
Accrington ST – form over the last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Wycombe 0–2 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.7 and concede 0.8 per game.
On form, Port Vale have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Port Vale 1.7 – 0.8 Accrington ST in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 45% for over 2.5, 53% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Port Vale 59% · draw 22% · Accrington ST 19%.
Safer play: Port Vale or draw (81%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Port Vale to win at 1.85 – we make it 59%, the price implies 54%.
ZoraTips prediction
We back Port Vale or draw, rated at 81% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Port Vale 1–0 Accrington ST. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Port Vale59%fair 1.69 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.30
Accrington ST19%fair 5.28 · @3.90
2.48Expected goals
1.67Port Vale xG
0.80Accrington ST xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Port Vale 1.7 – 0.8 Accrington ST expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Port Vale to win
59%
1.69
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Port Vale or draw
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.89
1.91
Draw no bet
Port Vale (draw no bet)
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Accrington ST +1.5 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
55%
1.83
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
89%
1.13
1.08
First team to score
Port Vale to score first
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Port Vale / FT Port Vale
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.58
–
Recent results
Port Vale – last 6
WWWLDW
7 Nov
vs Scunthorpe
4–2
W
31 Oct
vs Rochdale
4–2
W
27 Oct
vs Manchester City U21
5–0
W
24 Oct
@ York
0–2
L
20 Oct
@ Gillingham
1–1
D
17 Oct
vs Chesterfield
1–0
W
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Accrington ST – last 6
LDWDWD
7 Nov
vs Wycombe
0–2
L
31 Oct
vs Northampton
1–1
D
24 Oct
@ Rochdale
5–0
W
20 Oct
@ York
1–1
D
17 Oct
vs Gillingham
3–1
W
10 Oct
@ Oldham
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Port Vale and Accrington ST.
What is the prediction for Port Vale vs Accrington ST?
Our pick is Port Vale or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Port Vale vs Accrington ST?
On our numbers Port Vale have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Accrington ST 19%.
How many goals will there be in Port Vale vs Accrington ST?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Port Vale vs Accrington ST?
Our predicted score is Port Vale 1–0 Accrington ST, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Port Vale vs Accrington ST?
Port Vale vs Accrington ST (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Vale Park.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
