Crewe 42%Draw 21%Newport County 37%Expected goals 1.34 – 1.25
72%
ZoraTips pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.33
7/10Rating
1.33Odds
2
Value bet: Newport County to win @ 3.30 – our chance 37% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultCrewe to win42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 11.89
Crewe vs Newport County prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Crewe v Newport County in the League Two – Saturday 14 November, 16:00 WAT, Alexandra Stadium. Crewe sit 4th with 22 points from 14 games (in the top four), while Newport County are 14th on 18 (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Crewe – form over the last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Wigan 1–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They score 1.3 and concede 2.2 per game.
Newport County – form over the last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Walsall 3–1 at home. They score 1.8 and concede 1.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Crewe 1.3 – 1.2 Newport County in expected goals – roughly 2.6 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 48% for over 2.5, 56% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Crewe 42% · draw 21% · Newport County 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Newport County to win at 3.30 – we make it 37%, the price implies 30%.
ZoraTips prediction
Our tip: Under 3.5 goals, rated at 72% confidence at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Crewe 1–1 Newport County. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Crewe42%fair 2.40 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.40
Newport County37%fair 2.67 · @3.30
2.58Expected goals
1.34Crewe xG
1.25Newport County xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Crewe 1.3 – 1.2 Newport County expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Crewe to win
42%
2.40
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win
79%
1.26
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.79
1.73
Draw no bet
Crewe (draw no bet)
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Newport County +0.5 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.93
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
72%
1.38
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
87%
1.15
1.11
First team to score
Crewe to score first
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Crewe / FT Crewe
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
8%
11.89
–
Recent results
Crewe – last 6
LWDLLW
10 Nov
vs Wigan
1–2
L
7 Nov
vs AFC Wimbledon
2–1
W
31 Oct
vs Barnet
1–1
D
24 Oct
@ Chesterfield
1–5
L
20 Oct
@ Exeter City
0–2
L
17 Oct
vs Rochdale
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Newport County – last 6
WLWLDD
7 Nov
vs Walsall
3–1
W
3 Nov
vs Crystal Palace U21
1–2
L
30 Oct
vs Chesterfield
4–1
W
24 Oct
@ Cheltenham
0–1
L
20 Oct
@ Rotherham
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs York
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crewe and Newport County.
What is the prediction for Crewe vs Newport County?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Crewe vs Newport County?
On our numbers Crewe have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Newport County 37%.
How many goals will there be in Crewe vs Newport County?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Crewe vs Newport County?
Our predicted score is Crewe 1–1 Newport County, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Crewe vs Newport County?
Crewe vs Newport County (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Alexandra Stadium.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
