Thu 12 Nov

Colchester v Gillingham: numbers & prediction

League Two · England · Colchester Community Stadium
Sat 14 Nov 2026
Colchester 43%Draw 22%Gillingham 35% Expected goals 1.38 – 1.23
73%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
2

Value bet: Gillingham to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultColchester to win43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.60

Colchester vs Gillingham prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Colchester host Gillingham in the League Two on Saturday 14 November, kicking off at 16:00 WAT at Colchester Community Stadium. Colchester sit 23rd with 12 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Gillingham are 8th on 20 (in the top half).

Form guide

Colchester – form over the last 5: DWLLD Most recently they drew with Ipswich Town U21 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up: 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Gillingham – form over the last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Northampton 2–1 on the road. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 1.8 per game.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Colchester 1.4 – 1.2 Gillingham in expected goals – roughly 2.6 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 49% for over 2.5, 60% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Colchester 43% · draw 22% · Gillingham 35%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.73.
  • Value angle: Gillingham to win at 3.20 – we make it 35%, the price implies 31%.

ZoraTips prediction

We back Over 1.5 goals, rated at 73% confidence at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Colchester 1–1 Gillingham. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Colchester43%fair 2.34 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.30
Gillingham35%fair 2.82 · @3.20
2.61Expected goals
1.38Colchester xG
1.23Gillingham xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%

From our goals model: Colchester 1.4 – 1.2 Gillingham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultColchester to win43%2.342.10
Double chanceEither team to win78%1.281.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score60%1.671.73
Draw no betColchester (draw no bet)55%1.83–
Asian handicapGillingham +1 (Asian handicap)76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals73%1.361.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals51%1.941.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals72%1.381.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals87%1.161.11
First team to scoreColchester to score first49%2.04–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Colchester / FT Colchester24%4.24–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.60–

Recent results

Colchester – last 6

DWLLDD
10 Novvs Ipswich Town U210–0D
7 Novvs Worcester City1–0W
31 Octvs Walsall1–3L
24 Oct@ Northampton0–2L
20 Oct@ Chesterfield1–1D
17 Octvs Exeter City0–0D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Gillingham – last 6

WLWLDL
10 Nov@ Northampton2–1W
7 Novvs Barrow0–1L
31 Oct@ Shrewsbury2–1W
24 Octvs Grimsby1–4L
20 Octvs Port Vale1–1D
17 Oct@ Accrington ST1–3L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Colchester and Gillingham.

Colchester vs Gillingham head-to-head page →

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford City141013+1031
2Barnet13751+1026
3Walsall13571+922
4Crewe14572022
5Cheltenham14635-221
6Grimsby14554+620
7York14554+320
8Gillingham14554+120
9Accrington ST14473+619
10Chesterfield14545+319
11Tranmere14473+219
12Exeter City14545+219
13Swindon Town14545-219
14Newport County14464+318
15Shrewsbury14536-518
16Fleetwood Town14455017
17Bristol Rovers14518-616
18Oldham14437-415
19Port Vale12435-415
20Rochdale14437-915
21Northampton13355-114
22Rotherham14266-712
23Colchester13265-712
24Crawley Town12237-89

More League Two predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Colchester vs Gillingham?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Colchester vs Gillingham?

On our numbers Colchester have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gillingham 35%.

How many goals will there be in Colchester vs Gillingham?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Colchester vs Gillingham?

Our predicted score is Colchester 1–1 Gillingham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Colchester vs Gillingham?

Colchester vs Gillingham (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Colchester Community Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.