Thu 12 Nov

Exeter City v Cheltenham: numbers & prediction

League Two · England · St James Park
Sat 14 Nov 2026
Exeter City 49%Draw 21%Cheltenham 30% Expected goals 1.47 – 1.07
74%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.30

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
2

Value bet: Cheltenham to win @ 3.80 – our chance 30% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultExeter City to win49% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.98

Exeter City vs Cheltenham prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Exeter City host Cheltenham in the League Two on Saturday 14 November, kicking off at 13:30 WAT at St James Park. Exeter City sit 12th with 19 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Cheltenham are 5th on 21 (in the top half). The gap is just 2 points, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Exeter City – form over the last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Huddersfield 2–1 on the road. They score 1.3 and concede 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Cheltenham – form over the last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Oxford United 0–4 on the road. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 2.2 per game.

On form, Exeter City have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 1.5.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 22 Sep 2026, finished Cheltenham 2–2 Exeter City.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Exeter City 1.5 – 1.1 Cheltenham in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 48% for over 2.5, 56% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Exeter City 49% · draw 21% · Cheltenham 30%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.83.
  • Value angle: Cheltenham to win at 3.80 – we make it 30%, the price implies 26%.

ZoraTips prediction

ZoraTips tip: Under 3.5 goals, rated at 74% confidence at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Exeter City 1–1 Cheltenham. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Exeter City49%fair 2.04 · @1.90
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.50
Cheltenham30%fair 3.31 · @3.80
2.53Expected goals
1.47Exeter City xG
1.07Cheltenham xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: Exeter City 1.5 – 1.1 Cheltenham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultExeter City to win49%2.041.90
Double chanceEither team to win79%1.261.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score56%1.791.83
Draw no betExeter City (draw no bet)62%1.62–
Asian handicapCheltenham +1 (Asian handicap)70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals72%1.391.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals52%1.911.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals74%1.361.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals88%1.141.10
First team to scoreExeter City to score first53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time44%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Exeter City / FT Exeter City27%3.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%10.98–

Recent results

Exeter City – last 6

WLWWDW
7 Nov@ Huddersfield2–1W
31 Oct@ Salford City1–2L
24 Octvs Fleetwood Town2–1W
20 Octvs Crewe2–0W
17 Oct@ Colchester0–0D
10 Oct@ Shrewsbury1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Cheltenham – last 6

LWLWWL
10 Nov@ Oxford United0–4L
7 Novvs FC Halifax Town2–0W
31 Oct@ Tranmere1–3L
24 Octvs Newport County1–0W
20 Octvs Fleetwood Town4–2W
17 Oct@ Oldham1–4L
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Sep 2026Cheltenham v Exeter City2–2
Exeter City vs Cheltenham head-to-head page →

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford City141013+1031
2Barnet13751+1026
3Walsall13571+922
4Crewe14572022
5Cheltenham14635-221
6Grimsby14554+620
7York14554+320
8Gillingham14554+120
9Accrington ST14473+619
10Chesterfield14545+319
11Tranmere14473+219
12Exeter City14545+219
13Swindon Town14545-219
14Newport County14464+318
15Shrewsbury14536-518
16Fleetwood Town14455017
17Bristol Rovers14518-616
18Oldham14437-415
19Port Vale12435-415
20Rochdale14437-915
21Northampton13355-114
22Rotherham14266-712
23Colchester13265-712
24Crawley Town12237-89

More League Two predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Exeter City vs Cheltenham?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Exeter City vs Cheltenham?

On our numbers Exeter City have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cheltenham 30%.

How many goals will there be in Exeter City vs Cheltenham?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Exeter City vs Cheltenham?

Our predicted score is Exeter City 1–1 Cheltenham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Exeter City vs Cheltenham?

Exeter City vs Cheltenham (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at St James Park.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.