Mon 16 Nov

Tanzania v Nigeria: numbers & prediction

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification · Africa

Tanzania

LDLWL
Tue 17 Nov 2026

Nigeria

WDLWL
Tanzania 16%Draw 20%Nigeria 64% Expected goals 0.70 – 1.77
76%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.20

8/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.49 – our chance 51% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultNigeria to win64% · @1.35
Double chanceNigeria or draw84% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.49
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.79

Tanzania vs Nigeria prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Tanzania host Nigeria in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification on Tuesday 17 November, kicking off at 14:00 WAT. Tanzania sit 2nd with 10 points from 6 games, while Nigeria are 1st on 11. The gap is just 1 point, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Tanzania – form over the last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Nigeria 1–3 on the road. They score 1.6 and concede 1.4 per game.

Nigeria – form over the last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Tanzania 3–1 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. They score 1.8 and concede 2.0 per game.

On form, Nigeria have the edge: 1.3 points a game against 0.8.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 13 Nov 2026, finished Nigeria 3–1 Tanzania.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Tanzania 0.7 – 1.8 Nigeria in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 45% for over 2.5, 51% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Tanzania 16% · draw 20% · Nigeria 64%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.49.
  • Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.49 – we make it 51%, the price implies 40%.

ZoraTips prediction

We back Under 3.5 goals, rated at 76% confidence at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Tanzania 0–1 Nigeria. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Tanzania16%fair 6.40 · @8.70
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @4.33
Nigeria64%fair 1.55 · @1.35
2.47Expected goals
0.70Tanzania xG
1.77Nigeria xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–08%
0–38%

From our goals model: Tanzania 0.7 – 1.8 Nigeria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNigeria to win64%1.551.35
Double chanceNigeria or draw84%1.191.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score51%1.952.49 ▲
Draw no betNigeria (draw no bet)80%1.24–
Asian handicapNigeria -0.5 (Asian handicap)63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals70%1.441.32
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals55%1.801.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals76%1.321.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals89%1.131.03
First team to scoreNigeria to score first66%1.52–
Half-time resultNigeria ahead at half-time44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nigeria / FT Nigeria40%2.53–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%10.79–

Recent results

Tanzania – last 5

LDLWL
13 Nov@ Nigeria1–3L
29 Sep@ Madagascar1–1D
25 Sepvs Guinea-Bissau0–2L
29 Mar@ Mação6–0W
26 Marvs Liechtenstein0–1L
1.6Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Nigeria – last 6

WDLWLD
13 Novvs Tanzania3–1W
6 Oct@ Russia3–3D
29 Sep@ Guinea-Bissau0–3L
25 Sepvs Madagascar2–1W
10 Jun@ Portugal1–2L
3 Jun@ Poland2–2D
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Nov 2026Nigeria v Tanzania3–1
Tanzania vs Nigeria head-to-head page →

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nigeria6321+611
2Benin622208
3Rwanda6222-28
4Libya6123-45

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

League hub
Burundi Zambia 143%2.55X24%3.00233%2.80 1.4–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 65%@1.62
Ethiopia Mozambique 138%2.75X24%2.90238%2.55 1.1–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 63%@1.50
Lesotho Gabon 111%7.30X22%3.92267%1.44 0.5–1.7xG 2Gabon to win 67%@1.44
Malawi Egypt 110%15.00X16%6.25274%1.17 0.7–2.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.22
South Sudan Angola 116%11.25X18%4.65266%1.28 0.7–1.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.32
Gambia Ivory Coast 19%6.25X25%3.85267%1.50 0.7–2.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.30
Kenya South Africa 124%4.70X25%3.24251%1.77 1.1–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 68%@1.46
Libya Tunisia 118%4.60X22%3.24260%1.79 0.8–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.44

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tanzania vs Nigeria?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Tanzania vs Nigeria?

On our numbers Tanzania have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Nigeria 64%.

How many goals will there be in Tanzania vs Nigeria?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tanzania vs Nigeria?

Our predicted score is Tanzania 0–1 Nigeria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Tanzania vs Nigeria?

Tanzania vs Nigeria (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.