Mon 16 Nov

Libya v Tunisia: numbers & prediction

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification · Africa

Libya

WLDDD
Tue 17 Nov 2026

Tunisia

LDDLL
Libya 18%Draw 22%Tunisia 60% Expected goals 0.78 – 1.67
66%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44

6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.22 – our chance 53% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultTunisia to win60% · @1.79
Double chanceTunisia or draw82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @2.22
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.66

Libya vs Tunisia prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification action on Tuesday 17 November: Libya take on Tunisia from 17:00 WAT. Libya sit 4th with 5 points from 6 games, while Tunisia are 2nd on 10.

Form guide

Libya – form over the last 5: WLDDD Most recently they beat Tunisia 2–0 on the road. They score 1.2 and concede 1.0 per game. 2 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Tunisia – form over the last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Libya 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.

On form, Libya have the edge: 1.2 points a game against 0.3.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 13 Nov 2026, finished Tunisia 0–2 Libya.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Libya 0.8 – 1.7 Tunisia in expected goals – roughly 2.4 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 41% for over 2.5, 53% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Libya 18% · draw 22% · Tunisia 60%.
  • Safer play: Tunisia or draw (82%) at 1.15.
  • Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.22.
  • Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.22 – we make it 53%, the price implies 45%.

ZoraTips prediction

We back Over 1.5 goals, rated at 66% confidence at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Libya 0–2 Tunisia. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Libya18%fair 5.49 · @4.60
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.24
Tunisia60%fair 1.68 · @1.79
2.45Expected goals
0.78Libya xG
1.67Tunisia xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–114%
0–212%
1–111%
1–29%
0–09%
1–07%

From our goals model: Libya 0.8 – 1.7 Tunisia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTunisia to win60%1.681.79 ▲
Double chanceTunisia or draw82%1.221.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score53%1.902.22 ▲
Draw no betTunisia (draw no bet)77%1.31–
Asian handicapLibya +1.5 (Asian handicap)67%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals66%1.511.44
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals59%1.691.49
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals79%1.271.12
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals90%1.11–
First team to scoreTunisia to score first62%1.61–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tunisia / FT Tunisia36%2.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%10.66–

Recent results

Libya – last 5

WLDDD
13 Nov@ Tunisia2–0W
29 Sep@ Uganda0–1L
24 Sepvs Botswana2–2D
31 Mar@ Liberia2–2D
27 Marvs Niger0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Tunisia – last 6

LDDLLL
13 Novvs Libya0–2L
28 Sep@ Botswana2–2D
24 Sepvs Uganda1–1D
26 Junvs Netherlands1–3L
21 Junvs Japan0–4L
15 Jun@ Sweden1–5L
0.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Nov 2026Tunisia v Libya0–2
Libya vs Tunisia head-to-head page →

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Comoros6330+312
2Tunisia6312+110
3Gambia622208
4Madagascar6024-42

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

League hub
Burundi Zambia 143%2.55X24%3.00233%2.80 1.4–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 65%@1.62
Ethiopia Mozambique 138%2.75X24%2.90238%2.55 1.1–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 63%@1.50
Lesotho Gabon 111%7.30X22%3.92267%1.44 0.5–1.7xG 2Gabon to win 67%@1.44
Malawi Egypt 110%15.00X16%6.25274%1.17 0.7–2.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.22
South Sudan Angola 116%11.25X18%4.65266%1.28 0.7–1.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.32
Tanzania Nigeria 116%8.70X20%4.33264%1.35 0.7–1.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.20
Gambia Ivory Coast 19%6.25X25%3.85267%1.50 0.7–2.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.30
Kenya South Africa 124%4.70X25%3.24251%1.77 1.1–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 68%@1.46

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Libya vs Tunisia?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Libya vs Tunisia?

On our numbers Libya have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Tunisia 60%.

How many goals will there be in Libya vs Tunisia?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Libya vs Tunisia?

Our predicted score is Libya 0–2 Tunisia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Libya vs Tunisia?

Libya vs Tunisia (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.