Malawi v Egypt Prediction & Expected Goals (17 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultEgypt to win74% · @1.17

Double chanceEgypt or draw90% · @1.01

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.75

GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.94

Malawi vs Egypt prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Malawi host Egypt in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification on Tuesday 17 November, kicking off at 14:00 WAT at Bingu National Stadium. Malawi sit 3rd with 4 points from 6 games, while Egypt are 1st on 14.

Form guide

Malawi – form over the last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Egypt 0–5 on the road. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.

Egypt – form over the last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Malawi 5–0 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. 2.2 goals per match shows an attack in good shape. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

On form, Egypt have the edge: 1.3 points a game against 0.8.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 13 Nov 2026, finished Egypt 5–0 Malawi.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Malawi 0.7 – 2.3 Egypt in expected goals – roughly 2.9 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 55% for over 2.5 goals, 51% for GG.

Betting angles

Match result chances: Malawi 10% · draw 16% · Egypt 74%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.75.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.75 – we make it 51%, the price implies 36%.

ZoraTips prediction

Our tip: Over 1.5 goals, rated at 78% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Malawi 0–2 Egypt. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Malawi10%fair 9.74 · @15.00

Draw16%fair 6.44 · @6.25

Egypt74%fair 1.35 · @1.17

2.93Expected goals

0.67Malawi xG

2.26Egypt xG

51%Both score

55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–214%

0–112%

0–310%

1–29%

1–18%

1–37%

From our goals model: Malawi 0.7 – 2.3 Egypt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Egypt to win	74%	1.35	1.17
Double chance	Egypt or draw	90%	1.11	1.01
Both teams to score	Both teams to score	51%	1.97	2.75 ▲
Draw no bet	Egypt (draw no bet)	88%	1.14	–
Asian handicap	Egypt -1 (Asian handicap)	65%	1.54	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	78%	1.29	1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals	55%	1.81	1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	66%	1.51	1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	82%	1.22	1.14
First team to score	Egypt to score first	73%	1.37	–
Half-time result	Egypt ahead at half-time	53%	1.89	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Egypt / FT Egypt	49%	2.04	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2	9%	10.94	–

Malawi – last 5

LLWDL

13 Nov	@ Egypt	0–5	L
6 Oct	@ Angola	1–3	L
25 Sep	vs South Sudan	2–1	W
9 Jun	@ Ethiopia	1–1	D
6 Jun	@ Ethiopia	0–1	L

0.8Scored / game

2.2Conceded / game

60%Both scored

60%Over 2.5

Egypt – last 6

WLWDLD

13 Nov	vs Malawi	5–0	W
4 Oct	vs South Africa	0–1	L
29 Sep	@ South Sudan	5–0	W
25 Sep	vs Angola	0–0	D
7 Jul	@ Argentina	2–3	L
3 Jul	@ Australia	1–1	D

2.2Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

33%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Egypt	6	4	2	0	+10	14
2	Botswana	6	2	2	2	-3	8
3	Mauritania	6	2	1	3	-3	7
4	Cape Verde Islands	6	1	1	4	-4	4

Team

Pts

+10

-3

-3

-4

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Malawi vs Egypt?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Malawi vs Egypt?

On our numbers Malawi have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Egypt 74%.

How many goals will there be in Malawi vs Egypt?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Malawi vs Egypt?

Our predicted score is Malawi 0–2 Egypt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Malawi vs Egypt?

Malawi vs Egypt (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Bingu National Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Malawi v Egypt: numbers & prediction

Malawi