Mon 16 Nov

Lesotho v Gabon: numbers & prediction

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification · Africa · Peter Mokaba Stadium

Lesotho

LLLLD
Tue 17 Nov 2026

Gabon

WWLL
Lesotho 11%Draw 22%Gabon 67% Expected goals 0.51 – 1.69
67%
ZoraTips pick

Gabon to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultGabon to win67% · @1.44
Double chanceGabon or draw89% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score55% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–119% · fair 5.33

Lesotho vs Gabon prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Lesotho v Gabon in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification – Tuesday 17 November, 14:00 WAT, Peter Mokaba Stadium. Lesotho sit 3rd with 4 points from 6 games, while Gabon are 2nd on 10.

Form guide

Lesotho – form over the last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Gabon 0–2 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.

Gabon – form over the last 4: WWLL Most recently they beat Lesotho 2–0 at home. They score 1.3 and concede 1.3 per game. 2 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

On form, Gabon have the edge: 1.5 points a game against 0.7.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 13 Nov 2026, finished Gabon 2–0 Lesotho.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Lesotho 0.5 – 1.7 Gabon in expected goals – roughly 2.2 goals in all. This looks a tight one: under 2.5 goals is 60% likely.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Lesotho 11% · draw 22% · Gabon 67%.
  • Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.50.

ZoraTips prediction

ZoraTips tip: Gabon to win, rated at 67% confidence at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Lesotho 0–1 Gabon. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Lesotho11%fair 9.06 · @7.30
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.92
Gabon67%fair 1.49 · @1.44
2.20Expected goals
0.51Lesotho xG
1.69Gabon xG
45%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–119%
0–216%
0–011%
1–110%
0–39%
1–28%

From our goals model: Lesotho 0.5 – 1.7 Gabon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGabon to win67%1.491.44
Double chanceGabon or draw89%1.121.06
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score55%1.831.50
Draw no betGabon (draw no bet)86%1.16–
Asian handicapGabon -0.5 (Asian handicap)67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals66%1.531.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals60%1.661.61
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals80%1.261.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals91%1.101.02
First team to scoreGabon to score first68%1.46–
Half-time resultGabon ahead at half-time45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gabon / FT Gabon42%2.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–119%5.33–

Recent results

Lesotho – last 6

LLLLDW
13 Nov@ Gabon0–2L
29 Sepvs Morocco0–2L
25 Sep@ Niger1–2L
7 Jun@ Kenya0–4L
4 Junvs Kenya1–1D
29 Marvs Seychelles2–1W
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Gabon – last 4

WWLL
13 Novvs Lesotho2–0W
29 Sepvs Niger2–0W
25 Sep@ Morocco0–2L
27 Mar@ Uzbekistan1–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Nov 2026Gabon v Lesotho2–0
Lesotho vs Gabon head-to-head page →

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Morocco6600+2418
2Gabon6312-210
3Lesotho6114-114
4Central African Republic6105-113

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

League hub
Burundi Zambia 143%2.55X24%3.00233%2.80 1.4–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 65%@1.62
Ethiopia Mozambique 138%2.75X24%2.90238%2.55 1.1–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 63%@1.50
Malawi Egypt 110%15.00X16%6.25274%1.17 0.7–2.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.22
South Sudan Angola 116%11.25X18%4.65266%1.28 0.7–1.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.32
Tanzania Nigeria 116%8.70X20%4.33264%1.35 0.7–1.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.20
Gambia Ivory Coast 19%6.25X25%3.85267%1.50 0.7–2.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.30
Kenya South Africa 124%4.70X25%3.24251%1.77 1.1–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 68%@1.46
Libya Tunisia 118%4.60X22%3.24260%1.79 0.8–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.44

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lesotho vs Gabon?

Our pick is Gabon to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Lesotho vs Gabon?

On our numbers Lesotho have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gabon 67%.

How many goals will there be in Lesotho vs Gabon?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lesotho vs Gabon?

Our predicted score is Lesotho 0–1 Gabon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Lesotho vs Gabon?

Lesotho vs Gabon (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Peter Mokaba Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.