Mali v Rwanda Prediction & Expected Goals (13 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultMali to win68% · @1.27

Double chanceMali or draw86% · @1.01

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · @1.46

GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · @1.26

Correct scoreCorrect score 3–08% · fair 11.85

Mali vs Rwanda prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Mali host Rwanda in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification on Friday 13 November, kicking off at 20:00 WAT at Stade du 26 Mars. Mali sit 1st with 14 points from 6 games, while Rwanda are 3rd on 8.

Form guide

Mali – form over the last 3: WWD Most recently they beat Liberia 1–0 on the road. They score 1.3 and concede 0.3 per game. 2 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Rwanda – form over the last 4: WWWW Most recently they beat Cape Verde Islands 2–1 on the road. They are averaging 2.8 goals a game – a real threat going forward. 2 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

On form, Rwanda have the edge: 3.0 points a game against 2.3.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Mali 2.0 – 0.8 Rwanda in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 51% for over 2.5, 49% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

Match result chances: Mali 68% · draw 18% · Rwanda 14%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.46.

ZoraTips prediction

Our tip: Over 1.5 goals, rated at 74% confidence at odds of 1.26. Predicted score: Mali 2–0 Rwanda. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Mali68%fair 1.48 · @1.27

Draw18%fair 5.49 · @5.00

Rwanda14%fair 7.03 · @10.80

2.79Expected goals

2.02Mali xG

0.77Rwanda xG

49%Both score

51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%

1–012%

2–110%

1–110%

3–08%

3–16%

From our goals model: Mali 2.0 – 0.8 Rwanda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Mali to win	68%	1.48	1.27
Double chance	Mali or draw	86%	1.17	1.01
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score	51%	1.97	1.46
Draw no bet	Mali (draw no bet)	83%	1.21	–
Asian handicap	Mali -0.5 (Asian handicap)	67%	1.50	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	74%	1.35	1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals	51%	1.97	1.92
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	71%	1.42	1.26
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	85%	1.17	1.06
First team to score	Mali to score first	68%	1.47	–
Half-time result	Mali ahead at half-time	48%	2.10	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Mali / FT Mali	43%	2.33	–
Correct score	Correct score 3–0	8%	11.85	–

Mali – last 3

WWD

29 Sep	@ Liberia	1–0	W
25 Sep	vs Cape Verde Islands	3–1	W
31 Mar	@ Russia	0–0	D

1.3Scored / game

0.3Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Rwanda – last 4

WWWW

29 Sep	@ Cape Verde Islands	2–1	W
25 Sep	vs Liberia	3–1	W
30 Mar	vs Estonia	2–0	W
27 Mar	vs Grenada	4–0	W

2.8Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

75%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nigeria	6	3	2	1	+6	11
2	Benin	6	2	2	2	0	8
3	Rwanda	6	2	2	2	-2	8
4	Libya	6	1	2	3	-4	5

Team

Pts

-2

-4

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mali vs Rwanda?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.

Who will win Mali vs Rwanda?

On our numbers Mali have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Rwanda 14%.

How many goals will there be in Mali vs Rwanda?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mali vs Rwanda?

Our predicted score is Mali 2–0 Rwanda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Mali vs Rwanda?

Mali vs Rwanda (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade du 26 Mars.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Mali v Rwanda: numbers & prediction

Mali