Gabon v Lesotho Prediction & Expected Goals (13 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultGabon to win69% · @1.22

Double chanceGabon or draw88% · fair 1.13

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score56% · @1.39

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–017% · fair 5.83

Gabon vs Lesotho prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Gabon v Lesotho in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification – Friday 13 November, 17:00 WAT, Stade de Franceville. Gabon sit 2nd with 10 points from 6 games, while Lesotho are 3rd on 4.

Form guide

Gabon – form over the last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Niger 2–0 at home. They score 1.0 and concede 1.7 per game.

Lesotho – form over the last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Morocco 0–2 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Gabon 1.8 – 0.6 Lesotho in expected goals – roughly 2.3 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 45% for over 2.5, 44% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

Match result chances: Gabon 69% · draw 19% · Lesotho 12%.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.39.

ZoraTips prediction

ZoraTips tip: Under 3.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Gabon 1–0 Lesotho. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Gabon69%fair 1.45 · @1.22

Draw19%fair 5.16 · @5.45

Lesotho12%fair 8.44 · @13.00

2.35Expected goals

1.80Gabon xG

0.55Lesotho xG

44%Both score

45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%

2–015%

0–010%

1–19%

3–09%

2–19%

From our goals model: Gabon 1.8 – 0.6 Lesotho expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Gabon to win	69%	1.45	1.22
Double chance	Gabon or draw	88%	1.13	–
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score	56%	1.78	1.39
Draw no bet	Gabon (draw no bet)	85%	1.17	–
Asian handicap	Gabon -0.5 (Asian handicap)	68%	1.48	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	70%	1.43	1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals	55%	1.83	1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	75%	1.34	1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	88%	1.14	1.07
First team to score	Gabon to score first	69%	1.44	–
Half-time result	Gabon ahead at half-time	47%	2.15	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Gabon / FT Gabon	43%	2.33	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0	17%	5.83	–

Gabon – last 3

WLL

29 Sep	vs Niger	2–0	W
25 Sep	@ Morocco	0–2	L
27 Mar	@ Uzbekistan	1–3	L

1.0Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Lesotho – last 6

LLLDWD

29 Sep	vs Morocco	0–2	L
25 Sep	@ Niger	1–2	L
7 Jun	@ Kenya	0–4	L
4 Jun	vs Kenya	1–1	D
29 Mar	vs Seychelles	2–1	W
26 Mar	@ Seychelles	0–0	D

0.7Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Morocco	6	6	0	0	+24	18
2	Gabon	6	3	1	2	-2	10
3	Lesotho	6	1	1	4	-11	4
4	Central African Republic	6	1	0	5	-11	3

Team

Pts

Morocco

+24

Gabon

-2

Lesotho

-11

Central African Republic

-11

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gabon vs Lesotho?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Gabon vs Lesotho?

On our numbers Gabon have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lesotho 12%.

How many goals will there be in Gabon vs Lesotho?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gabon vs Lesotho?

Our predicted score is Gabon 1–0 Lesotho, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Gabon vs Lesotho?

Gabon vs Lesotho (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Franceville.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Gabon v Lesotho: numbers & prediction