South Africa v Kenya: numbers & prediction

South Africa vs Kenya prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is South Africa v Kenya in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification – Friday 13 November, 17:00 WAT, Orlando Stadium. South Africa sit 1st with 14 points from 6 games, while Kenya are 3rd on 6.

Form guide

South Africa – form over the last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Egypt 1–0 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.7 and concede 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Kenya – form over the last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to Guinea 0–1 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.8 and concede 0.6 per game. 2 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

On form, South Africa have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 1.6.

Goals outlook

Our model projects South Africa 1.9 – 0.7 Kenya in expected goals – roughly 2.6 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 47% for over 2.5, 50% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

• Match result chances: South Africa 67% · draw 18% · Kenya 15%.
• Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.38.

ZoraTips prediction

We back Under 3.5 goals, rated at 74% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: South Africa 1–0 Kenya. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.