Wed 11 Nov

Egypt v Malawi: numbers & prediction

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification · Africa · Cairo International Stadium

Egypt

LWDLD
Fri 13 Nov 2026

Malawi

LWDL
Egypt 79%Draw 13%Malawi 7% Expected goals 2.45 – 0.57
64%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.43

6/10Rating
1.43Odds

Picks by market

ResultEgypt to win79% · @1.07
Double chanceEgypt or draw93% · @1.01
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · @1.27
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–012% · fair 8.34

Egypt vs Malawi prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Egypt v Malawi in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification – Friday 13 November, 20:00 WAT, Cairo International Stadium. Egypt sit 1st with 14 points from 6 games, while Malawi are 3rd on 4.

Form guide

Egypt – form over the last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to South Africa 0–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 1.0 per game.

Malawi – form over the last 4: LWDL Most recently they lost to Angola 1–3 on the road. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 1.5 per game.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Egypt 2.4 – 0.6 Malawi in expected goals – roughly 3.0 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 58% for over 2.5 goals, 47% for GG.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Egypt 79% · draw 13% · Malawi 7%.
  • Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.27.

ZoraTips prediction

ZoraTips tip: Under 3.5 goals, rated at 64% confidence at odds of 1.43. Predicted score: Egypt 2–0 Malawi. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Egypt79%fair 1.26 · @1.07
Draw13%fair 7.58 · @8.80
Malawi7%fair 13.67 · @28.00
3.01Expected goals
2.45Egypt xG
0.57Malawi xG
47%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–015%
1–012%
3–012%
2–18%
4–07%
1–17%

From our goals model: Egypt 2.4 – 0.6 Malawi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEgypt to win79%1.261.07
Double chanceEgypt or draw93%1.081.01
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score53%1.871.27
Draw no betEgypt (draw no bet)92%1.09–
Asian handicapEgypt -1 (Asian handicap)73%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals80%1.251.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals58%1.721.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals64%1.571.43
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals80%1.241.14
First team to scoreEgypt to score first77%1.30–
Half-time resultEgypt ahead at half-time57%1.75–
Half-time / full-timeHT Egypt / FT Egypt54%1.84–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–012%8.34–

Recent results

Egypt – last 6

LWDLDD
4 Octvs South Africa0–1L
29 Sep@ South Sudan5–0W
25 Sepvs Angola0–0D
7 Jul@ Argentina2–3L
3 Jul@ Australia1–1D
27 Junvs Iran1–1D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Malawi – last 4

LWDL
6 Oct@ Angola1–3L
25 Sepvs South Sudan2–1W
9 Jun@ Ethiopia1–1D
6 Jun@ Ethiopia0–1L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Egypt and Malawi.

Egypt vs Malawi head-to-head page →

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Egypt6420+1014
2Botswana6222-38
3Mauritania6213-37
4Cape Verde Islands6114-44

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

League hub
Comoros Congo 157%1.83X27%3.20216%4.56 1.5–0.6xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 65%@1.42
Mozambique Ethiopia 162%1.54X24%3.74213%6.13 1.7–0.6xG 1Mozambique to win 62%@1.54
Zambia Burundi 161%1.58X25%3.62214%5.85 1.9–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 70%@1.39
Burkina Faso Mauritania 162%1.53X24%3.72214%6.37 1.7–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.43
Cape Verde Islands Liberia 166%1.25X20%5.10214%12.00 2.0–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.26
Gabon Lesotho 169%1.22X19%5.45212%13.00 1.8–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.28
Nigeria Tanzania 176%1.11X18%7.5027%18.50 2.3–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.47
South Africa Kenya 167%1.27X18%4.90215%11.30 1.9–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Egypt vs Malawi?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.

Who will win Egypt vs Malawi?

On our numbers Egypt have a 79% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Malawi 7%.

How many goals will there be in Egypt vs Malawi?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Egypt vs Malawi?

Our predicted score is Egypt 2–0 Malawi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Egypt vs Malawi?

Egypt vs Malawi (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Cairo International Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.