Moldova v Kazakhstan: numbers & prediction

Moldova vs Kazakhstan prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

UEFA Nations League action on Friday 13 November: Moldova take on Kazakhstan at Zimbru from 18:00 WAT. Moldova sit 3rd with 4 points from 4 games, while Kazakhstan are 4th on 2. The gap is just 2 points, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Moldova – form over the last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to Slovakia 0–4 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 1.8 per game.

Kazakhstan – form over the last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Faroe Islands 2–2 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. They score 1.2 and concede 1.8 per game.

On form, Moldova have the edge: 1.0 points a game against 0.5.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 2 Oct 2026, finished Kazakhstan 1–2 Moldova.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Moldova 1.2 – 1.3 Kazakhstan in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 43% for over 2.5, 56% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

• Match result chances: Moldova 36% · draw 24% · Kazakhstan 39%.
• Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 2.10.
• Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – we make it 56%, the price implies 48%.

ZoraTips prediction

Our tip: Over 1.5 goals, rated at 68% confidence at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Moldova 1–1 Kazakhstan. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.