Thu 12 Nov

Netherlands v Greece: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe · Johan Cruijff Arena

Netherlands

WDWDD
Fri 13 Nov 2026

Greece

DDWWL
Netherlands 66%Draw 20%Greece 15% Expected goals 1.99 – 0.80
66%
ZoraTips pick

Netherlands to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.55

6/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultNetherlands to win66% · @1.55
Double chanceNetherlands or draw85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.29

Netherlands vs Greece prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Netherlands host Greece in the UEFA Nations League on Friday 13 November, kicking off at 20:45 WAT at Johan Cruijff Arena. Netherlands sit 1st with 8 points from 4 games, while Greece are 2nd on 8. The gap is down to goal difference, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Netherlands – form over the last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat Serbia 2–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.8 and concede 1.2 per game.

Greece – form over the last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Germany 0–0 at home. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 1.0 per game.

On form, Netherlands have the edge: 2.0 points a game against 1.5.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 1 Oct 2026, finished Greece 2–2 Netherlands.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Netherlands 2.0 – 0.8 Greece in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 55% for over 2.5, 54% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Netherlands 66% · draw 20% · Greece 15%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.73.

ZoraTips prediction

ZoraTips tip: Netherlands to win, rated at 66% confidence at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Netherlands 1–0 Greece. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Netherlands66%fair 1.52 · @1.55
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @4.33
Greece15%fair 6.81 · @5.50
2.78Expected goals
1.99Netherlands xG
0.80Greece xG
54%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%

From our goals model: Netherlands 2.0 – 0.8 Greece expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNetherlands to win66%1.521.55
Double chanceNetherlands or draw85%1.171.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score54%1.841.73
Draw no betNetherlands (draw no bet)82%1.22–
Asian handicapNetherlands -0.5 (Asian handicap)65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals78%1.281.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals55%1.801.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals66%1.511.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals82%1.221.18
First team to scoreNetherlands to score first67%1.49–
Half-time resultNetherlands ahead at half-time47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Netherlands / FT Netherlands42%2.39–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.29–

Recent results

Netherlands – last 6

WDWDDW
4 Octvs Serbia2–1W
1 Oct@ Greece2–2D
27 Sep@ Serbia2–1W
24 Sepvs Germany1–1D
30 Junvs Morocco1–1D
26 Jun@ Tunisia3–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Greece – last 6

DDWWLD
4 Octvs Germany0–0D
1 Octvs Netherlands2–2D
27 Sep@ Germany1–0W
24 Sep@ Serbia2–1W
7 Junvs Italy0–1L
4 Jun@ Sweden2–2D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Oct 2026Greece v Netherlands2–2
Netherlands vs Greece head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Netherlands4220+28
2Greece4220+28
3Germany4121+15
4Serbia4004-50

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
Moldova Kazakhstan 136%2.70X24%2.90239%2.88 1.2–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 68%@1.44
Serbia Germany 112%8.50X15%6.25273%1.28 0.7–2.1xG 2Germany to win 73%@1.28
Slovakia Faroe Islands 166%1.36X18%4.50215%8.50 1.9–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25
Bulgaria Iceland 113%4.33X24%3.50263%1.83 0.6–1.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.25
Liechtenstein Azerbaijan 18%14.00X20%5.15272%1.28 0.3–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 82%@1.22
Luxembourg Estonia 138%2.15X23%3.10239%3.50 0.9–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 67%@1.50
Andorra Gibraltar 161%1.80X24%3.22215%5.65 1.2–0.4xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 74%@1.33
Slovenia Switzerland 116%5.50X23%3.50261%1.67 0.7–1.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Netherlands vs Greece?

Our pick is Netherlands to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Netherlands vs Greece?

On our numbers Netherlands have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Greece 15%.

How many goals will there be in Netherlands vs Greece?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Netherlands vs Greece?

Our predicted score is Netherlands 1–0 Greece, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Netherlands vs Greece?

Netherlands vs Greece (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Johan Cruijff Arena.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.