Wed 11 Nov

Serbia v Germany: numbers & prediction

UEFA Nations League · Europe · Rajko Mitić Stadion

Serbia

LLLLL
Fri 13 Nov 2026

Germany

DWLDD
Serbia 13%Draw 15%Germany 72% Expected goals 0.69 – 2.11
72%
ZoraTips pick

Germany to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.30

7/10Rating
1.30Odds
U3.5

Value bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultGermany to win72% · @1.30
Double chanceGermany or draw87% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals81% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.73

Serbia vs Germany prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Serbia v Germany in the UEFA Nations League – Friday 13 November, 20:45 WAT, Rajko Mitić Stadion. Serbia sit 4th with 0 points from 4 games, while Germany are 3rd on 5.

Form guide

Serbia – form over the last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Netherlands 1–2 on the road. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.

Germany – form over the last 5: DWLDD Most recently they drew with Greece 0–0 on the road. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.

On form, Germany have the edge: 1.0 points a game against 0.0.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 1 Oct 2026, finished Germany 2–0 Serbia.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Serbia 0.7 – 2.1 Germany in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 60% for over 2.5, 55% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Serbia 13% · draw 15% · Germany 72%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.67.
  • Value angle: Under 3.5 goals at 1.80 – we make it 60%, the price implies 56%.

ZoraTips prediction

Our tip: Germany to win, rated at 72% confidence at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Serbia 0–2 Germany. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Serbia13%fair 7.99 · @8.00
Draw15%fair 6.54 · @6.00
Germany72%fair 1.38 · @1.30
2.80Expected goals
0.69Serbia xG
2.11Germany xG
55%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–214%
0–113%
0–310%
1–29%
1–19%
1–37%

From our goals model: Serbia 0.7 – 2.1 Germany expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGermany to win72%1.381.30
Double chanceGermany or draw87%1.141.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score55%1.831.67
Draw no betGermany (draw no bet)85%1.17–
Asian handicapGermany -1 (Asian handicap)61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals81%1.231.11
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals60%1.661.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals60%1.661.80 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals78%1.281.33
First team to scoreGermany to score first71%1.41–
Half-time resultGermany ahead at half-time50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT Germany / FT Germany46%2.16–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%10.73–

Recent results

Serbia – last 6

LLLLLL
4 Oct@ Netherlands1–2L
1 Oct@ Germany0–2L
27 Sepvs Netherlands1–2L
24 Sepvs Greece1–2L
5 Jun@ Mexico1–5L
31 May@ Cape Verde Islands0–3L
0.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Germany – last 6

DWLDDL
4 Oct@ Greece0–0D
1 Octvs Serbia2–0W
27 Sepvs Greece0–1L
24 Sep@ Netherlands1–1D
29 Junvs Paraguay1–1D
25 Jun@ Ecuador1–2L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Oct 2026Germany v Serbia2–0
Serbia vs Germany head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Netherlands4220+28
2Greece4220+28
3Germany4121+15
4Serbia4004-50

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
Moldova Kazakhstan 137%2.60X24%3.00239%2.88 1.2–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 68%@1.44
Netherlands Greece 167%1.50X19%4.50214%6.00 2.0–0.8xG 1Netherlands to win 67%@1.50
Slovakia Faroe Islands 166%1.36X18%4.50215%8.50 1.9–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25
Bulgaria Iceland 113%4.33X24%3.60263%1.80 0.6–1.7xG X2Iceland or draw 87%@1.20
Liechtenstein Azerbaijan 18%14.00X20%5.15272%1.28 0.3–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 82%@1.22
Luxembourg Estonia 138%2.15X23%3.10239%3.50 0.9–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 67%@1.50
Andorra Gibraltar 160%1.90X24%3.08216%5.20 1.2–0.4xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 74%@1.32
Slovenia Switzerland 116%6.00X22%3.60262%1.60 0.7–1.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.25

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Serbia vs Germany?

Our pick is Germany to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Serbia vs Germany?

On our numbers Serbia have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Germany 72%.

How many goals will there be in Serbia vs Germany?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Serbia vs Germany?

Our predicted score is Serbia 0–2 Germany, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Serbia vs Germany?

Serbia vs Germany (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Rajko Mitić Stadion.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.