Double Chance Tips

Double chance treble for Thursday 12 November: pick by pick

Lithuania vs Suriname (Friendlies, 18:00 WAT): Suriname or draw at 1.40, a 70% chance. Two results covered – the one we leave out comes up just 30% of the time on our numbers. Our ratings put 1.1 expected goals on Lithuania and 1.2 from Suriname.

Italy vs France (UEFA Nations League, 20:45 WAT): France or draw at 1.20, a 88% chance. Two results covered – the one we leave out comes up just 12% of the time on our numbers. Our ratings put 0.8 expected goals on Italy and 2.1 from France.

Albania vs Finland (UEFA Nations League, 20:45 WAT): Albania or draw at 1.20, a 79% chance. Two results covered – the one we leave out comes up just 21% of the time on our numbers. Our ratings put 1.7 expected goals on Albania and 0.9 from Finland.

Combined, the 3 legs pay 2.02, and our chance of all of them landing is 49%. Put 1,000 on it and the return is 2,020.

How the double chance treble works

The double chance treble covers a win or a draw for three teams – the lowest-risk slip we publish. A draw never hurts it; only a defeat does.

Each leg has a high chance and a short price, so the treble is steady rather than exciting. It suits a larger stake than the accumulators.

Playing it well

• Returns are small – resist adding a fourth leg just to lift the odds.
• X2 on a clearly stronger away team is often the best value leg.
• Check that no leg is priced below about 1.15 – the return becomes too thin.

ZoraTips slips only use senior matches from 11:00 WAT onwards. Once the first game kicks off the slip is locked, and it is graded on the score after 90 minutes. These are estimates, not promises – please only bet what you can afford to lose (18+).