Wed 11 Nov

Lithuania v Suriname: numbers & prediction

Friendlies · World

Lithuania

LWDWL
Thu 12 Nov 2026

Suriname

LDWWL
Lithuania 30%Draw 39%Suriname 32% Expected goals 1.13 – 1.17
70%
ZoraTips pick

Suriname or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.40

7/10Rating
1.40Odds
X

Value bet: Draw @ 3.10 – our chance 39% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultDraw39% · @3.10
Double chanceSuriname or draw70% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–113% · fair 7.55

Lithuania vs Suriname prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Lithuania v Suriname in the Friendlies – Thursday 12 November, 18:00 WAT.

Form guide

Lithuania – form over the last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Azerbaijan 0–1 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Suriname – form over the last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Guatemala 0–1 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 1.2 per game.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Lithuania 1.1 – 1.2 Suriname in expected goals – roughly 2.3 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 40% for over 2.5, 55% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Lithuania 30% · draw 39% · Suriname 32%.
  • Safer play: Suriname or draw (70%) at 1.40.
  • Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.00.
  • Value angle: Draw at 3.10 – we make it 39%, the price implies 32%.

ZoraTips prediction

Our tip: Suriname or draw, rated at 70% confidence at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Lithuania 1–1 Suriname. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Lithuania30%fair 3.35 · @2.62
Draw39%fair 2.60 · @3.10
Suriname32%fair 3.16 · @2.40
2.31Expected goals
1.13Lithuania xG
1.17Suriname xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Lithuania 1.1 – 1.2 Suriname expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDraw39%2.603.10 ▲
Double chanceSuriname or draw70%1.421.40
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score55%1.802.00 ▲
Draw no betSuriname (draw no bet)52%1.94–
Asian handicapLithuania +0.5 (Asian handicap)63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals66%1.521.44
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals60%1.681.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals80%1.261.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals91%1.091.05
First team to scoreSuriname to score first46%2.19–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Suriname / FT Suriname21%4.80–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–113%7.55–

Recent results

Lithuania – last 6

LWDWLW
4 Oct@ Azerbaijan0–1L
30 Sepvs Andorra3–0W
27 Sepvs Azerbaijan1–1D
24 Sep@ Liechtenstein2–0W
29 Marvs Georgia0–2L
26 Mar@ Moldova2–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Suriname – last 5

LDWWL
6 Oct@ Guatemala0–1L
2 Octvs Guatemala0–0D
28 Sepvs Martinique2–1W
26 Sep@ Honduras3–2W
26 Mar@ Bolivia1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Lithuania and Suriname.

Lithuania vs Suriname head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

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Thailand U23 Qatar U23 138%2.65X23%3.04239%2.41 1.4–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.28
Singapore U23 Vietnam U23 19%12.25X17%4.90274%1.20 0.4–1.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 72%@1.46
Scotland U21 Ukraine U21 125%2.88X21%3.46255%2.06 1.3–2.0xG GGBoth teams to score 63%@1.56
Uzbekistan Russia 127%3.70X22%3.34251%1.98 1.2–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.34
Malta Eswatini 166%1.50X21%4.20213%4.75 1.8–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lithuania vs Suriname?

Our pick is Suriname or draw with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Lithuania vs Suriname?

On our numbers Lithuania have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 39% and Suriname 32%.

How many goals will there be in Lithuania vs Suriname?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lithuania vs Suriname?

Our predicted score is Lithuania 1–1 Suriname, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Lithuania vs Suriname?

Lithuania vs Suriname (Friendlies) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.