Uzbekistan v Russia Prediction & Expected Goals (12 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultRussia to win51% · @1.98

Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.92

GoalsOver 1.5 goals73% · @1.34

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–210% · fair 10.45

Uzbekistan vs Russia prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Friendlies action on Thursday 12 November: Uzbekistan take on Russia at Pakhtakor Central Stadium from 16:00 WAT.

Form guide

Uzbekistan – form over the last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to South Korea 0–2 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 2.5 per game.

Russia – form over the last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Nigeria 3–3 at home. They are averaging 2.8 goals a game – a real threat going forward. 4 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

On form, Russia have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 1.0.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Uzbekistan 1.2 – 1.7 Russia in expected goals – roughly 2.9 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 49% for over 2.5, 56% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Match result chances: Uzbekistan 27% · draw 22% · Russia 51%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.92.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.92 – we make it 56%, the price implies 52%.

ZoraTips prediction

We back Over 1.5 goals, rated at 73% confidence at odds of 1.34. Predicted score: Uzbekistan 1–1 Russia. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Uzbekistan27%fair 3.64 · @3.70

Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.34

Russia51%fair 1.98 · @1.98

2.85Expected goals

1.17Uzbekistan xG

1.69Russia xG

56%Both score

49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

0–110%

1–210%

0–28%

1–07%

2–17%

From our goals model: Uzbekistan 1.2 – 1.7 Russia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Russia to win	51%	1.98	1.98
Double chance	Either team to win	78%	1.28	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score	56%	1.78	1.92 ▲
Draw no bet	Russia (draw no bet)	65%	1.54	–
Asian handicap	Uzbekistan +1 (Asian handicap)	66%	1.53	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	73%	1.38	1.34
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals	51%	1.95	1.64
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	72%	1.38	1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	86%	1.16	1.02
First team to score	Russia to score first	56%	1.80	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time	40%	2.47	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Russia / FT Russia	30%	3.32	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2	10%	10.45	–

Uzbekistan – last 6

LWWLLL

6 Oct	@ South Korea	0–2	L
1 Oct	vs Syria	4–1	W
24 Sep	vs Iran	3–1	W
28 Jun	@ Congo DR	1–3	L
23 Jun	@ Portugal	0–5	L
18 Jun	vs Colombia	1–3	L

1.5Scored / game

2.5Conceded / game

67%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

Russia – last 6

DWWWWL

6 Oct	vs Nigeria	3–3	D
3 Oct	vs Namibia	6–0	W
29 Sep	vs Iran	2–0	W
9 Jun	vs Trinidad and Tobago	3–0	W
5 Jun	vs Burkina Faso	3–0	W
28 May	@ Egypt	0–1	L

2.8Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

17%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Uzbekistan vs Russia?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.

Who will win Uzbekistan vs Russia?

On our numbers Uzbekistan have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Russia 51%.

How many goals will there be in Uzbekistan vs Russia?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Uzbekistan vs Russia?

Our predicted score is Uzbekistan 1–1 Russia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Uzbekistan vs Russia?

Uzbekistan vs Russia (Friendlies) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Pakhtakor Central Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Uzbekistan v Russia: numbers & prediction

Uzbekistan

Russia

Over 1.5 goals