Thu 12 Nov

Scotland U21 v Ukraine U21: numbers & prediction

Friendlies · World · Pinatar Arena
Thu 12 Nov 2026
Scotland U21 20%Draw 52%Ukraine U21 28% Expected goals 1.52 – 1.72
80%
ZoraTips pick

Ukraine U21 or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.30

9/10Rating
1.30Odds
X

Value bet: Draw @ 3.46 – our chance 52% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +81%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultDraw52% · @3.46
Double chanceUkraine U21 or draw80% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.56
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–27% · fair 14.98

Scotland U21 vs Ukraine U21 prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Scotland U21 v Ukraine U21 in the Friendlies – Thursday 12 November, 14:00 WAT, Pinatar Arena.

Form guide

Scotland U21 – form over the last 4: WWLD Most recently they beat Bulgaria U21 2–0 on the road. They score 1.8 and concede 1.3 per game. 2 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Ukraine U21 – form over the last 5: DWDLW Most recently they drew with Albania U21 2–2 at home. They score 1.3 and concede 1.5 per game.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Scotland U21 1.5 – 1.7 Ukraine U21 in expected goals – roughly 3.2 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Scotland U21 20% · draw 52% · Ukraine U21 28%.
  • Safer play: Ukraine U21 or draw (80%) at 1.30.
  • Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.56.
  • Value angle: Draw at 3.46 – we make it 52%, the price implies 29%.

ZoraTips prediction

Our tip: Ukraine U21 or draw, rated at 80% confidence at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.24, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Scotland U21 1–1 Ukraine U21. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Scotland U2120%fair 5.11 · @2.88
Draw52%fair 1.91 · @3.46
Ukraine U2128%fair 3.56 · @2.06
3.23Expected goals
1.52Scotland U21 xG
1.72Ukraine U21 xG
61%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
2–27%
1–06%

From our goals model: Scotland U21 1.5 – 1.7 Ukraine U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDraw52%1.913.46 ▲
Double chanceUkraine U21 or draw80%1.241.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score61%1.631.56
Draw no betUkraine U21 (draw no bet)59%1.70–
Asian handicapScotland U21 +1 (Asian handicap)72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals80%1.251.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals59%1.711.68
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals63%1.591.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals80%1.251.10
First team to scoreUkraine U21 to score first51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time38%2.64–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ukraine U21 / FT Ukraine U2126%3.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–27%14.98–

Recent results

Scotland U21 – last 4

WWLD
6 Oct@ Bulgaria U212–0W
30 Sepvs Azerbaijan U215–2W
31 Mar@ Portugal U210–3L
27 Marvs Czech Republic U210–0D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Ukraine U21 – last 6

DWDLWD
5 Octvs Albania U212–2D
2 Octvs Croatia U211–0W
26 Sepvs Turkey U212–2D
8 Jun@ Japan U210–3L
31 Mar@ Hungary U212–1W
27 Marvs Lithuania U211–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Scotland U21 and Ukraine U21.

Scotland U21 vs Ukraine U21 head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Scotland U21 vs Ukraine U21?

Our pick is Ukraine U21 or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Scotland U21 vs Ukraine U21?

On our numbers Scotland U21 have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 52% and Ukraine U21 28%.

How many goals will there be in Scotland U21 vs Ukraine U21?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Scotland U21 vs Ukraine U21?

Our predicted score is Scotland U21 1–1 Ukraine U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Scotland U21 vs Ukraine U21?

Scotland U21 vs Ukraine U21 (Friendlies) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Pinatar Arena.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.