Sat 14 Nov

China v Malaysia: numbers & prediction

Friendlies · World · Tianhe Stadium

China

LLLWD
2–0
FT

Malaysia

WWDWL
China 66%Draw 18%Malaysia 16% Expected goals 1.96 – 0.80
76%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.23Odds
1

Value bet: China to win @ 1.61 – our chance 66% vs 62% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultChina to win ✓66% · @1.61
Double chanceChina or draw ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.82
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.29

China vs Malaysia prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is China v Malaysia in the Friendlies – Saturday 14 November, 13:00 WAT, Tianhe Stadium.

Form guide

China – form over the last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Tajikistan 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.

Malaysia – form over the last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Vietnam 1–0 at home. They score 1.7 and concede 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

On form, Malaysia have the edge: 1.7 points a game against 1.2.

Goals outlook

Our model projects China 2.0 – 0.8 Malaysia in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 53% for over 2.5, 51% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: China 66% · draw 18% · Malaysia 16%.
  • Safer play: China or draw (84%) at 1.18.
  • Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.82.
  • Value angle: China to win at 1.61 – we make it 66%, the price implies 62%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 76% confidence at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: China 2–0 Malaysia. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

China66%fair 1.51 · @1.61
Draw18%fair 5.63 · @4.47
Malaysia16%fair 6.27 · @5.62
2.76Expected goals
1.96China xG
0.80Malaysia xG
51%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%

From our goals model: China 2.0 – 0.8 Malaysia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChina to win ✓66%1.511.61 ▲
Double chanceChina or draw ✓84%1.191.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.941.82
Draw no betChina (draw no bet) ✓81%1.24–
Asian handicapChina -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.311.23
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.901.84
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.461.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.191.14
First team to scoreChina to score first ✓67%1.50–
Half-time resultChina ahead at half-time ✓46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT China / FT China ✓41%2.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.29–

Recent results

China – last 6

LLLWDW
6 Octvs Tajikistan0–1L
2 Octvs Palestine0–5L
27 Sepvs New Zealand0–3L
24 Sepvs Maldives3–0W
9 Junvs Thailand0–0D
5 Jun@ Singapore2–1W
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Malaysia – last 6

WWDWLL
5 Octvs Vietnam1–0W
1 Octvs Singapore6–0W
28 Sepvs Indonesia0–0D
25 Sep@ Bangladesh3–0W
19 Aug@ Vietnam0–2L
16 Augvs Vietnam0–2L
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between China and Malaysia.

China vs Malaysia head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for China vs Malaysia?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.

Who will win China vs Malaysia?

On our numbers China have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Malaysia 16%.

How many goals will there be in China vs Malaysia?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for China vs Malaysia?

Our predicted score is China 2–0 Malaysia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is China vs Malaysia?

China vs Malaysia (Friendlies) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Tianhe Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.