Sat 14 Nov

Ecuador v Costa Rica: numbers & prediction

Friendlies · World

Ecuador

DDLLW
2–0
FT

Costa Rica

WWLLL
Ecuador 72%Draw 21%Costa Rica 7% Expected goals 2.34 – 0.70
79%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultEcuador to win ✓72% · @1.20
Double chanceEcuador or draw ✓93% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 9.76

Ecuador vs Costa Rica prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Ecuador v Costa Rica in the Friendlies – Saturday 14 November, 01:00 WAT.

Form guide

Ecuador – form over the last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with Panama 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.5 per game.

Costa Rica – form over the last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Haiti 2–0 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 2.3 per game.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Ecuador 2.3 – 0.7 Costa Rica in expected goals – roughly 3.0 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 57% for over 2.5 goals, 49% for GG.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Ecuador 72% · draw 21% · Costa Rica 7%.
  • Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.50.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 79% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Ecuador 2–0 Costa Rica. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Ecuador72%fair 1.39 · @1.20
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @5.75
Costa Rica7%fair 13.86 · @10.00
3.04Expected goals
2.34Ecuador xG
0.70Costa Rica xG
49%Both score
57%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: Ecuador 2.3 – 0.7 Costa Rica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEcuador to win ✓72%1.391.20
Double chanceEcuador or draw ✓93%1.081.05
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.951.50
Draw no betEcuador (draw no bet) ✓91%1.10–
Asian handicapEcuador -1 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.271.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗57%1.761.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.541.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.241.17
First team to scoreEcuador to score first ✓73%1.36–
Half-time resultEcuador ahead at half-time ✓54%1.86–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ecuador / FT Ecuador ✓50%2.00–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10%9.76–

Recent results

Ecuador – last 6

DDLLWD
5 Octvs Panama1–1D
1 Oct@ Japan0–0D
24 Sep@ South Korea0–3L
1 Jul@ Mexico0–2L
25 Junvs Germany2–1W
21 Junvs Curaçao0–0D
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Costa Rica – last 6

WWLLLL
5 Octvs Haiti2–0W
2 Oct@ Nicaragua3–0W
28 Sep@ Haiti0–2L
25 Sepvs Curaçao3–4L
10 Jun@ England0–3L
31 Marvs Iran0–5L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ecuador and Costa Rica.

Ecuador vs Costa Rica head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

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FT Peru2 Bolivia0 160%1.57X24%3.90215%5.25 1.9–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓
FT Bahrain3 Yemen1 168%1.63X21%3.96211%6.49 1.9–0.6xG 1Bahrain to win 68%@1.63 ✓
FT Thailand U233 Singapore U231 167%1.37X19%4.15214%7.24 2.4–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 80%@1.21 ✓
FT Japan3 Brazil2 119%3.60X21%3.75260%1.83 1.1–2.1xG X2Brazil or draw 81%@1.25 ✗
FT China2 Malaysia0 166%1.61X18%4.47216%5.62 2.0–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.23 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ecuador vs Costa Rica?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Ecuador vs Costa Rica?

On our numbers Ecuador have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Costa Rica 7%.

How many goals will there be in Ecuador vs Costa Rica?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ecuador vs Costa Rica?

Our predicted score is Ecuador 2–0 Costa Rica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Ecuador vs Costa Rica?

Ecuador vs Costa Rica (Friendlies) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.