Fri 13 Nov

Colombia v Chile: numbers & prediction

Friendlies · World

Colombia

WLDDW
Sat 14 Nov 2026

Chile

WLLWL
Colombia 70%Draw 20%Chile 10% Expected goals 2.08 – 0.66
70%
ZoraTips pick

Colombia to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.40

7/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 53% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultColombia to win70% · @1.40
Double chanceColombia or draw90% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @2.20
GoalsOver 1.5 goals75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.86

Colombia vs Chile prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Colombia host Chile in the Friendlies on Saturday 14 November, kicking off at 01:00 WAT.

Form guide

Colombia – form over the last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat Peru 2–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Chile – form over the last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Mexico 2–0 on the road. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 4 of their last 6. They score 1.3 and concede 2.0 per game.

On form, Colombia have the edge: 1.5 points a game against 1.0.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Colombia 2.1 – 0.7 Chile in expected goals – roughly 2.7 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 51% for over 2.5, 53% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Colombia 70% · draw 20% · Chile 10%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.20.
  • Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – we make it 53%, the price implies 45%.

ZoraTips prediction

Our tip: Colombia to win, rated at 70% confidence at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Colombia 2–0 Chile. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Colombia70%fair 1.43 · @1.40
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @4.33
Chile10%fair 9.95 · @7.00
2.74Expected goals
2.08Colombia xG
0.66Chile xG
53%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–014%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–06%

From our goals model: Colombia 2.1 – 0.7 Chile expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultColombia to win70%1.431.40
Double chanceColombia or draw90%1.111.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score53%1.892.20 ▲
Draw no betColombia (draw no bet)87%1.14–
Asian handicapColombia -1 (Asian handicap)61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals75%1.341.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals51%1.941.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals71%1.411.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals86%1.171.11
First team to scoreColombia to score first71%1.41–
Half-time resultColombia ahead at half-time50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT Colombia / FT Colombia46%2.16–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%10.86–

Recent results

Colombia – last 6

WLDDWD
7 Octvs Peru2–0W
3 Octvs Paraguay0–1L
27 Sep@ Mexico1–1D
7 Jul@ Switzerland0–0D
4 Julvs Ghana1–0W
28 Junvs Portugal0–0D
0.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Chile – last 6

WLLWLL
7 Oct@ Mexico2–0W
30 Sep@ USA2–4L
27 Sep@ Canada0–1L
9 Jun@ Congo DR2–1W
6 Jun@ Portugal1–2L
30 Mar@ New Zealand1–4L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Colombia and Chile.

Colombia vs Chile head-to-head page →

More Friendlies predictions

League hub
Argentina Uruguay 163%1.55X24%4.00214%5.75 2.1–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.30
Brazil U20 Peru U20 176%1.08X15%8.0029%13.25 2.6–0.8xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 68%@1.27
Ecuador Costa Rica 172%1.20X21%5.7527%10.00 2.3–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.22
Peru Bolivia 161%1.50X24%4.00215%5.50 1.9–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.33
Bahrain Yemen 167%1.72X21%3.80212%5.63 1.8–0.6xG 1Bahrain to win 67%@1.72
Thailand U23 Singapore U23 167%1.83X16%3.68217%3.42 2.4–1.1xG 1Thailand U23 to win 67%@1.83
Japan Brazil 119%3.70X21%3.60260%1.90 1.1–2.0xG X2Brazil or draw 81%@1.28
China Malaysia 167%1.58X18%4.61216%5.91 2.0–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.23

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Colombia vs Chile?

Our pick is Colombia to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Colombia vs Chile?

On our numbers Colombia have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Chile 10%.

How many goals will there be in Colombia vs Chile?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Colombia vs Chile?

Our predicted score is Colombia 2–0 Chile, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Colombia vs Chile?

Colombia vs Chile (Friendlies) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.