Baglan Dragons 13%Draw 17%Barry Town 70%Expected goals 1.01 – 2.51
70%
ZoraTips pick
Barry Town to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.30
7/10Rating
1.30Odds
Picks by market
ResultBarry Town to win70% · @1.30
Double chanceBarry Town or draw87% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score67% · @1.37
GoalsOver 2.5 goals72% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.61
Baglan Dragons vs Barry Town prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Welsh Cup action on Friday 13 November: Baglan Dragons take on Barry Town from 20:45 WAT.
Form guide
Baglan Dragons – form over the last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Ynyshir Albions 2–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They score 1.5 and concede 1.2 per game.
Barry Town – form over the last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Cambrian & Clydach 3–3 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.8 and concede 1.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Baglan Dragons 1.0 – 2.5 Barry Town in expected goals – roughly 3.5 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 72% for over 2.5 goals, 67% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Baglan Dragons 13% · draw 17% · Barry Town 70%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.37.
ZoraTips prediction
ZoraTips tip: Barry Town to win, rated at 70% confidence at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Baglan Dragons 1–2 Barry Town. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Baglan Dragons13%fair 7.46 · @6.35
Draw17%fair 6.03 · @5.10
Barry Town70%fair 1.43 · @1.30
3.52Expected goals
1.01Baglan Dragons xG
2.51Barry Town xG
67%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
0–29%
1–38%
0–38%
1–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Baglan Dragons 1.0 – 2.5 Barry Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barry Town to win
70%
1.43
1.30
Double chance
Barry Town or draw
87%
1.15
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
67%
1.50
1.37
Draw no bet
Barry Town (draw no bet)
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Barry Town -1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.20
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
52%
1.91
1.59
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
66%
1.51
1.50
First team to score
Barry Town to score first
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Barry Town ahead at half-time
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barry Town / FT Barry Town
47%
2.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
10.61
–
Recent results
Baglan Dragons – last 6
WLWDWL
6 Nov
vs Ynyshir Albions
2–1
W
30 Oct
vs Treowen Stars
0–1
L
17 Oct
@ Llantwit Fardre
3–1
W
10 Oct
vs Pontypridd Town
1–1
D
2 Oct
@ llanelli AFC
2–1
W
25 Sep
vs Carmarthen Town
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Barry Town – last 6
DWLWLW
6 Nov
@ Cambrian & Clydach
3–3
D
30 Oct
vs Trefelin
3–0
W
24 Oct
vs Haverfordwest County AFC
1–3
L
17 Oct
vs Tredegar Town
2–0
W
9 Oct
@ Penybont
1–3
L
3 Oct
@ Caernarfon Town
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Baglan Dragons and Barry Town.
What is the prediction for Baglan Dragons vs Barry Town?
Our pick is Barry Town to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Baglan Dragons vs Barry Town?
On our numbers Baglan Dragons have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Barry Town 70%.
How many goals will there be in Baglan Dragons vs Barry Town?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baglan Dragons vs Barry Town?
Our predicted score is Baglan Dragons 1–2 Barry Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Baglan Dragons vs Barry Town?
Baglan Dragons vs Barry Town (Welsh Cup) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.