Thu 12 Nov

Baglan Dragons v Barry Town: numbers & prediction

Welsh Cup · Wales
Fri 13 Nov 2026
Baglan Dragons 13%Draw 17%Barry Town 70% Expected goals 1.01 – 2.51
70%
ZoraTips pick

Barry Town to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.30

7/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultBarry Town to win70% · @1.30
Double chanceBarry Town or draw87% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score67% · @1.37
GoalsOver 2.5 goals72% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.61

Baglan Dragons vs Barry Town prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Welsh Cup action on Friday 13 November: Baglan Dragons take on Barry Town from 20:45 WAT.

Form guide

Baglan Dragons – form over the last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Ynyshir Albions 2–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They score 1.5 and concede 1.2 per game.

Barry Town – form over the last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Cambrian & Clydach 3–3 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.8 and concede 1.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Baglan Dragons 1.0 – 2.5 Barry Town in expected goals – roughly 3.5 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 72% for over 2.5 goals, 67% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Baglan Dragons 13% · draw 17% · Barry Town 70%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.37.

ZoraTips prediction

ZoraTips tip: Barry Town to win, rated at 70% confidence at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Baglan Dragons 1–2 Barry Town. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Baglan Dragons13%fair 7.46 · @6.35
Draw17%fair 6.03 · @5.10
Barry Town70%fair 1.43 · @1.30
3.52Expected goals
1.01Baglan Dragons xG
2.51Barry Town xG
67%Both score
72%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
0–29%
1–38%
0–38%
1–18%
0–17%

From our goals model: Baglan Dragons 1.0 – 2.5 Barry Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBarry Town to win70%1.431.30
Double chanceBarry Town or draw87%1.151.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score67%1.501.37
Draw no betBarry Town (draw no bet)84%1.19–
Asian handicapBarry Town -1 (Asian handicap)61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals87%1.15–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals72%1.391.20
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals52%1.911.59
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals66%1.511.50
First team to scoreBarry Town to score first69%1.45–
Half-time resultBarry Town ahead at half-time52%1.92–
Half-time / full-timeHT Barry Town / FT Barry Town47%2.13–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%10.61–

Recent results

Baglan Dragons – last 6

WLWDWL
6 Novvs Ynyshir Albions2–1W
30 Octvs Treowen Stars0–1L
17 Oct@ Llantwit Fardre3–1W
10 Octvs Pontypridd Town1–1D
2 Oct@ llanelli AFC2–1W
25 Sepvs Carmarthen Town1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Barry Town – last 6

DWLWLW
6 Nov@ Cambrian & Clydach3–3D
30 Octvs Trefelin3–0W
24 Octvs Haverfordwest County AFC1–3L
17 Octvs Tredegar Town2–0W
9 Oct@ Penybont1–3L
3 Oct@ Caernarfon Town1–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Baglan Dragons and Barry Town.

Baglan Dragons vs Barry Town head-to-head page →

More Welsh Cup predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Baglan Dragons vs Barry Town?

Our pick is Barry Town to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Baglan Dragons vs Barry Town?

On our numbers Baglan Dragons have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Barry Town 70%.

How many goals will there be in Baglan Dragons vs Barry Town?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Baglan Dragons vs Barry Town?

Our predicted score is Baglan Dragons 1–2 Barry Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Baglan Dragons vs Barry Town?

Baglan Dragons vs Barry Town (Welsh Cup) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.