Caernarfon Town 65%Draw 12%Holywell 22%Expected goals 2.84 – 1.62
76%
ZoraTips pick
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.30
8/10Rating
1.30Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.97 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultCaernarfon Town to win65% · @1.10
Double chanceEither team to win88% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.97
GoalsOver 2.5 goals76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 13.23
Caernarfon Town vs Holywell prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Caernarfon Town host Holywell in the Welsh Cup on Friday 13 November, kicking off at 20:45 WAT at The Oval.
Form guide
Caernarfon Town – form over the last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Penybont 0–2 on the road. They score 1.7 and concede 1.5 per game.
Holywell – form over the last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Airbus UK 2–3 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 3.3 per game.
On form, Caernarfon Town have the edge: 1.5 points a game against 0.3.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 28 Aug 2026, finished Holywell 3–5 Caernarfon Town.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Caernarfon Town 2.8 – 1.6 Holywell in expected goals – roughly 4.5 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 76% likely and both teams score 55% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Caernarfon Town 65% · draw 12% · Holywell 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.97.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.97 – we make it 55%, the price implies 51%.
ZoraTips prediction
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals, rated at 76% confidence at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Caernarfon Town 2–1 Holywell. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Caernarfon Town65%fair 1.53 · @1.10
Draw12%fair 8.25 · @6.45
Holywell22%fair 4.45 · @17.00
4.46Expected goals
2.84Caernarfon Town xG
1.62Holywell xG
55%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
3–17%
2–26%
3–26%
1–15%
4–15%
From our goals model: Caernarfon Town 2.8 – 1.6 Holywell expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Caernarfon Town vs Holywell?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Caernarfon Town vs Holywell?
On our numbers Caernarfon Town have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Holywell 22%.
How many goals will there be in Caernarfon Town vs Holywell?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caernarfon Town vs Holywell?
Our predicted score is Caernarfon Town 2–1 Holywell, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is Caernarfon Town vs Holywell?
Caernarfon Town vs Holywell (Welsh Cup) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at The Oval.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Penybont
Cardiff Draconians
The New Saints
Briton Ferry