Thu 12 Nov

The New Saints v Briton Ferry: numbers & prediction

Welsh Cup · Wales · Park Hall
Fri 13 Nov 2026
The New Saints 58%Draw 12%Briton Ferry 30% Expected goals 2.30 – 1.59
74%
ZoraTips pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultThe New Saints to win58% · @1.12
Double chanceEither team to win88% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @2.00
GoalsOver 2.5 goals74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.64

The New Saints vs Briton Ferry prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is The New Saints v Briton Ferry in the Welsh Cup – Friday 13 November, 20:45 WAT, Park Hall.

Form guide

The New Saints – form over the last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Llandudno 1–0 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. 4.5 goals per match shows an attack in good shape. 4 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Briton Ferry – form over the last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Ammanford AFC 1–3 on the road. They are averaging 2.0 goals a game – a real threat going forward. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

On form, The New Saints have the edge: 2.7 points a game against 1.5.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 14 Aug 2026, finished The New Saints 1–0 Briton Ferry.

Goals outlook

Our model projects The New Saints 2.3 – 1.6 Briton Ferry in expected goals – roughly 3.9 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 74% for over 2.5 goals, 55% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: The New Saints 58% · draw 12% · Briton Ferry 30%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.00.
  • Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – we make it 55%, the price implies 50%.

ZoraTips prediction

ZoraTips tip: Over 2.5 goals, rated at 74% confidence at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: The New Saints 2–1 Briton Ferry. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

The New Saints58%fair 1.74 · @1.12
Draw12%fair 8.28 · @6.50
Briton Ferry30%fair 3.30 · @13.00
3.89Expected goals
2.30The New Saints xG
1.59Briton Ferry xG
55%Both score
74%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–17%
2–27%
3–17%
1–26%
2–05%

From our goals model: The New Saints 2.3 – 1.6 Briton Ferry expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultThe New Saints to win58%1.741.12
Double chanceEither team to win88%1.141.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score55%1.812.00 ▲
Draw no betThe New Saints (draw no bet)65%1.53–
Asian handicapBriton Ferry +1.5 (Asian handicap)67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals89%1.131.07
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals74%1.351.28
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals55%1.811.67
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals64%1.571.50
First team to scoreThe New Saints to score first58%1.73–
Half-time resultThe New Saints ahead at half-time42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT The New Saints / FT The New Saints34%2.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.64–

Recent results

The New Saints – last 6

WDWWWW
6 Nov@ Llandudno1–0W
31 Octvs GAP Connah S Quay FC0–0D
23 Octvs Ammanford AFC9–0W
16 Oct@ Airbus UK2–1W
9 Oct@ Holywell6–1W
3 Octvs Cambrian & Clydach9–0W
4.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Briton Ferry – last 6

LWLWLW
6 Nov@ Ammanford AFC1–3L
30 Octvs Llandudno3–0W
23 Oct@ Caernarfon Town1–3L
16 Octvs Afan United5–0W
9 Octvs GAP Connah S Quay FC1–2L
3 Octvs Colwyn Bay1–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Aug 2026The New Saints v Briton Ferry1–0
The New Saints vs Briton Ferry head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for The New Saints vs Briton Ferry?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win The New Saints vs Briton Ferry?

On our numbers The New Saints have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Briton Ferry 30%.

How many goals will there be in The New Saints vs Briton Ferry?

We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for The New Saints vs Briton Ferry?

Our predicted score is The New Saints 2–1 Briton Ferry, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.

When is The New Saints vs Briton Ferry?

The New Saints vs Briton Ferry (Welsh Cup) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Park Hall.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.