Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Paganese prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Sarrabus Ogliastra host Paganese in the Serie D Girone G on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 14:00 WAT. Sarrabus Ogliastra sit 15th with 12 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Paganese are 10th on 14 (in the bottom half). The gap is just 2 points, so three points here could swap their places.
Form guide
Sarrabus Ogliastra – form over the last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Sarnese 0–2 on the road. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.
Paganese – form over the last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with Ossese 1–1 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 1.2 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Sarrabus Ogliastra 1.2 – 1.5 Paganese in expected goals – roughly 2.7 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 50% for over 2.5, 57% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Sarrabus Ogliastra 32% · draw 23% · Paganese 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.76.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Both teams to score, rated at 57% confidence at odds of 1.76. Predicted score: Sarrabus Ogliastra 1–1 Paganese. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Sarrabus Ogliastra32%fair 3.16 · @3.05
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.05
Paganese46%fair 2.18 · @2.20
2.69Expected goals
1.19Sarrabus Ogliastra xG
1.50Paganese xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Sarrabus Ogliastra 1.2 – 1.5 Paganese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paganese to win✗
46%
2.18
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.76
Draw no bet
Paganese (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Sarrabus Ogliastra +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Paganese to score first✗
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paganese / FT Paganese✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.01
–
Recent results
Sarrabus Ogliastra – last 6
LWLDLL
1 Nov
@ Sarnese
0–2
L
25 Oct
vs Gelbison
3–0
W
18 Oct
@ Trastevere
2–3
L
11 Oct
vs Afragolese
0–0
D
7 Oct
@ Latte Dolce
0–3
L
4 Oct
@ Latte Dolce
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Paganese – last 6
DLLWDL
1 Nov
vs Ossese
1–1
D
25 Oct
@ Città di Anagni
1–2
L
18 Oct
@ Venafro
0–1
L
11 Oct
vs Budoni
3–0
W
7 Oct
vs Real Normanna
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Sarnese
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarrabus Ogliastra and Paganese.
What is the prediction for Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Paganese?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.76.
Who will win Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Paganese?
On our numbers Sarrabus Ogliastra have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Paganese 46%.
How many goals will there be in Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Paganese?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Paganese?
Our predicted score is Sarrabus Ogliastra 1–1 Paganese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Paganese?
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Paganese (Serie D Girone G) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
