Value bet: Aranova to win @ 1.78 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAranova to win ✗60% · @1.78
Double chanceAranova or draw ✗86% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.58
Aranova vs Venafro prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Aranova host Venafro in the Serie D Girone G on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 14:30 WAT. Aranova sit 9th with 15 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Venafro are 14th on 13 (in the bottom half). The gap is just 2 points, so three points here could swap their places.
Form guide
Aranova – form over the last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Afragolese 1–4 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.8 and concede 1.8 per game.
Venafro – form over the last 5: DDWDW Most recently they drew with Città di Anagni 1–1 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 1.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Aranova 1.8 – 0.8 Venafro in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 46% for over 2.5, 55% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Aranova 60% · draw 26% · Venafro 14%.
Safer play: Aranova or draw (86%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.87.
Value angle: Aranova to win at 1.78 – we make it 60%, the price implies 56%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Aranova 1–0 Venafro. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Aranova60%fair 1.68 · @1.78
Draw26%fair 3.77 · @3.10
Venafro14%fair 7.20 · @4.20
2.51Expected goals
1.76Aranova xG
0.75Venafro xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Aranova 1.8 – 0.8 Venafro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aranova to win✗
60%
1.68
1.78 ▲
Double chance
Aranova or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.87
Draw no bet
Aranova (draw no bet)✗
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Aranova -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.23
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Aranova to score first✗
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Aranova ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aranova / FT Aranova✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.58
–
Recent results
Aranova – last 6
LWWWLD
31 Oct
@ Afragolese
1–4
L
25 Oct
vs Sarnese
2–1
W
18 Oct
@ Unipomezia
4–3
W
11 Oct
vs Trastevere
2–0
W
4 Oct
@ Certosa V. Campagnano
1–2
L
27 Sep
vs Latte Dolce
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Venafro – last 6
DDWDWL
1 Nov
vs Città di Anagni
1–1
D
25 Oct
@ Atletico Lodigiani
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Paganese
1–0
W
11 Oct
@ Ossese
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Gelbison
1–0
W
27 Sep
vs Budoni
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aranova and Venafro.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Aranova vs Venafro?
On our numbers Aranova have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Venafro 14%.
How many goals will there be in Aranova vs Venafro?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aranova vs Venafro?
Our predicted score is Aranova 1–0 Venafro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Aranova vs Venafro?
Aranova vs Venafro (Serie D Girone G) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
