Monastir host Sarnese in the Serie D Girone G on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 14:30 WAT. Monastir sit 4th with 17 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Sarnese are 1st on 26 (top of the table).
Form guide
Monastir – form over the last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Unipomezia 2–4 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. 2.5 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.
Sarnese – form over the last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Sarrabus Ogliastra 2–0 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
On form, Sarnese have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Monastir 1.5 – 1.6 Sarnese in expected goals – roughly 3.0 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 54% for over 2.5 goals, 63% for GG. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Monastir 37% · draw 21% · Sarnese 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.64.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 77% confidence at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Monastir 1–1 Sarnese. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Monastir37%fair 2.69 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.26
Sarnese42%fair 2.40 · @2.46
3.01Expected goals
1.46Monastir xG
1.56Sarnese xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Monastir 1.5 – 1.6 Sarnese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sarnese to win✓
42%
2.40
2.46
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.23
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.64
Draw no bet
Sarnese (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Monastir +1 (Asian handicap)✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.82
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
82%
1.21
1.10
First team to score
Sarnese to score first✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sarnese / FT Sarnese✓
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.53
–
Recent results
Monastir – last 6
LDLWWD
1 Nov
@ Unipomezia
2–4
L
24 Oct
vs Trastevere
2–2
D
18 Oct
@ Certosa V. Campagnano
2–3
L
11 Oct
vs Latte Dolce
2–1
W
4 Oct
@ Budoni
5–1
W
27 Sep
vs Albalonga
2–2
D
2.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Sarnese – last 6
WLWWWD
1 Nov
vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
2–0
W
25 Oct
@ Aranova
1–2
L
18 Oct
vs Città di Anagni
1–0
W
11 Oct
@ Atletico Lodigiani
1–0
W
4 Oct
vs Paganese
2–1
W
27 Sep
@ Ossese
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monastir and Sarnese.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Monastir vs Sarnese?
On our numbers Monastir have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sarnese 42%.
How many goals will there be in Monastir vs Sarnese?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monastir vs Sarnese?
Our predicted score is Monastir 1–1 Sarnese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Monastir vs Sarnese?
Monastir vs Sarnese (Serie D Girone G) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
