Value bet: Afragolese to win @ 2.90 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAlbalonga to win ✗40% · @2.27
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.21
Albalonga vs Afragolese prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Albalonga v Afragolese in the Serie D Girone G – Sunday 8 November, 14:30 WAT. Albalonga sit 3rd with 17 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Afragolese are 8th on 15 (in the top half). The gap is just 2 points, so three points here could swap their places.
Form guide
Albalonga – form over the last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat Latte Dolce 2–0 on the road. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 1.5 per game.
Afragolese – form over the last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat Aranova 4–1 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 1.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Albalonga 1.3 – 1.2 Afragolese in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 47% for over 2.5, 56% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Albalonga 40% · draw 23% · Afragolese 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Afragolese to win at 2.90 – we make it 38%, the price implies 34%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Both teams to score, rated at 56% confidence at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Albalonga 1–1 Afragolese. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Albalonga40%fair 2.51 · @2.27
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.05
Afragolese38%fair 2.66 · @2.90
2.52Expected goals
1.28Albalonga xG
1.23Afragolese xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Albalonga 1.3 – 1.2 Afragolese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Albalonga to win✗
40%
2.51
2.27
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.73
Draw no bet
Albalonga (draw no bet)
51%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Afragolese +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.72
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Albalonga to score first✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Albalonga / FT Albalonga✗
22%
4.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.21
–
Recent results
Albalonga – last 6
WDWDLL
1 Nov
@ Latte Dolce
2–0
W
25 Oct
vs Unipomezia
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Budoni
4–2
W
11 Oct
vs Certosa V. Campagnano
0–0
D
7 Oct
@ Certosa V. Campagnano
1–4
L
4 Oct
vs Anzio
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Afragolese – last 6
WDWDLL
31 Oct
vs Aranova
4–1
W
25 Oct
@ Anzio
0–0
D
17 Oct
vs Atletico Lodigiani
4–0
W
11 Oct
@ Sarrabus Ogliastra
0–0
D
4 Oct
vs Ossese
0–2
L
27 Sep
@ Città di Anagni
0–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Albalonga and Afragolese.
What is the prediction for Albalonga vs Afragolese?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Albalonga vs Afragolese?
On our numbers Albalonga have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Afragolese 38%.
How many goals will there be in Albalonga vs Afragolese?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Albalonga vs Afragolese?
Our predicted score is Albalonga 1–1 Afragolese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Albalonga vs Afragolese?
Albalonga vs Afragolese (Serie D Girone G) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
