Pro Patria vs Pistoiese prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Pro Patria v Pistoiese in the Serie D Girone D – Sunday 8 November, 14:30 WAT, Carlo Speroni. Pro Patria sit 3rd with 21 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Pistoiese are 1st on 28 (top of the table).
Form guide
Pro Patria – form over the last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to Pavia 0–1 on the road. They score 1.7 and concede 1.0 per game.
Pistoiese – form over the last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Castellanzese 4–2 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.7 and concede 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Pro Patria 1.1 – 1.4 Pistoiese in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 44% for over 2.5, 52% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Pro Patria 31% · draw 26% · Pistoiese 43%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.82.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Under 2.5 goals, rated at 56% confidence at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Pro Patria 1–1 Pistoiese. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Pro Patria31%fair 3.22 · @3.40
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @2.65
Pistoiese43%fair 2.31 · @2.30
2.46Expected goals
1.10Pro Patria xG
1.36Pistoiese xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–09%
0–28%
From our goals model: Pro Patria 1.1 – 1.4 Pistoiese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pistoiese to win✗
43%
2.31
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.34
1.38
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.82
Draw no bet
Pistoiese (draw no bet)
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Pro Patria +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Pistoiese to score first✗
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pistoiese / FT Pistoiese✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.51
–
Recent results
Pro Patria – last 6
LDDWWW
1 Nov
@ Pavia
0–1
L
28 Oct
@ Leon
1–1
D
25 Oct
vs Correggese
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ USD Casatese
2–1
W
11 Oct
vs Sant'Angelo
1–0
W
7 Oct
@ Città di Varese
5–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Pistoiese – last 6
WLWWLW
1 Nov
vs Castellanzese
4–2
W
25 Oct
@ Cittadella Vis Modena
1–2
L
18 Oct
vs Pavia
1–0
W
11 Oct
vs Correggese
1–0
W
7 Oct
@ Sestri Levante
0–1
L
4 Oct
@ USD Casatese
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pro Patria and Pistoiese.
What is the prediction for Pro Patria vs Pistoiese?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Pro Patria vs Pistoiese?
On our numbers Pro Patria have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Pistoiese 43%.
How many goals will there be in Pro Patria vs Pistoiese?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pro Patria vs Pistoiese?
Our predicted score is Pro Patria 1–1 Pistoiese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Pro Patria vs Pistoiese?
Pro Patria vs Pistoiese (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Carlo Speroni.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
