Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.34 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.34Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.04 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLentigione to win ✓64% · @1.34
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.04
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.08
Lentigione vs Arconatese prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Serie D Girone D action on Sunday 8 November: Lentigione take on Arconatese from 14:30 WAT. Lentigione sit 2nd with 24 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Arconatese are 17th on 6 (in the bottom three). A 18-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.
Form guide
Lentigione – form over the last 5: WDDWL Most recently they beat Sant'Angelo 2–0 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.7 and concede 1.2 per game.
Arconatese – form over the last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Pontedera 3–4 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 2.2 per game.
On form, Lentigione have the edge: 1.8 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Lentigione 2.0 – 0.9 Arconatese in expected goals – roughly 2.9 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 55% for over 2.5 goals, 53% for GG.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Lentigione 64% · draw 17% · Arconatese 19%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.04.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.04 – we make it 53%, the price implies 49%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Lentigione to win, rated at 64% confidence at odds of 1.34. Predicted score: Lentigione 1–0 Arconatese. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Lentigione64%fair 1.56 · @1.34
Draw17%fair 5.87 · @4.50
Arconatese19%fair 5.31 · @7.20
2.90Expected goals
1.98Lentigione xG
0.92Arconatese xG
53%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Lentigione 2.0 – 0.9 Arconatese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lentigione to win✓
64%
1.56
1.34
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.21
1.16
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
2.04 ▲
Draw no bet
Lentigione (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Lentigione -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Lentigione to score first
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Lentigione ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lentigione / FT Lentigione✗
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.08
–
Recent results
Lentigione – last 6
WDDWLW
1 Nov
@ Sant'Angelo
2–0
W
25 Oct
vs Crema
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Solbiatese
2–2
D
11 Oct
vs Pontedera
2–0
W
7 Oct
vs Piacenza
1–3
L
4 Oct
@ Oltrepò
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Arconatese – last 6
LWLLDD
1 Nov
vs Pontedera
3–4
L
25 Oct
@ Coriano
2–1
W
18 Oct
vs Città di Varese
1–5
L
11 Oct
@ Castellanzese
0–1
L
4 Oct
vs Pro Sesto
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ Pavia
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lentigione and Arconatese.
What is the prediction for Lentigione vs Arconatese?
Our pick is Lentigione to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.
Who will win Lentigione vs Arconatese?
On our numbers Lentigione have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Arconatese 19%.
How many goals will there be in Lentigione vs Arconatese?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lentigione vs Arconatese?
Our predicted score is Lentigione 1–0 Arconatese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Lentigione vs Arconatese?
Lentigione vs Arconatese (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
