Thu 12 Nov

Castellanzese v USD Casatese: numbers & prediction

0–1
FT
Castellanzese 41%Draw 22%USD Casatese 37% Expected goals 1.42 – 1.33
60%
ZoraTips pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.69 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.69Odds

Picks by market

ResultCastellanzese to win ✗41% · @2.37
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.69
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.65

Castellanzese vs USD Casatese prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Castellanzese host USD Casatese in the Serie D Girone D on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 14:30 WAT. Castellanzese sit 4th with 19 points from 11 games (in the top four), while USD Casatese are 5th on 19 (in the top half). The gap is down to goal difference, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Castellanzese – form over the last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Pistoiese 2–4 on the road. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.0 goals a game – a real threat going forward. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

USD Casatese – form over the last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Pro Sesto 1–0 at home. They score 1.3 and concede 1.7 per game.

On form, Castellanzese have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 1.5.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 2 Apr 2026, finished USD Casatese 1–0 Castellanzese.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Castellanzese 1.4 – 1.3 USD Casatese in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 51% for over 2.5, 60% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Castellanzese 41% · draw 22% · USD Casatese 37%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.69.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Both teams to score, rated at 60% confidence at odds of 1.69. Predicted score: Castellanzese 1–1 USD Casatese. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Castellanzese41%fair 2.44 · @2.37
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.15
USD Casatese37%fair 2.72 · @2.70
2.75Expected goals
1.42Castellanzese xG
1.33USD Casatese xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%

From our goals model: Castellanzese 1.4 – 1.3 USD Casatese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCastellanzese to win ✗41%2.442.37
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.661.69
Draw no betCastellanzese (draw no bet) ✗53%1.90–
Asian handicapUSD Casatese +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76%1.31–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.961.82
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
First team to scoreCastellanzese to score first ✗48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Castellanzese / FT Castellanzese ✗23%4.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.65–

Recent results

Castellanzese – last 6

LDWWWW
1 Nov@ Pistoiese2–4L
25 Octvs Varesina1–1D
18 Oct@ Correggese2–0W
11 Octvs Arconatese1–0W
4 Oct@ Sant'Angelo2–1W
27 Sepvs Crema4–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

USD Casatese – last 6

WLLWLW
1 Novvs Pro Sesto1–0W
25 Oct@ Pavia1–3L
18 Octvs Pro Patria1–2L
11 Oct@ Cittadella Vis Modena1–0W
4 Octvs Pistoiese0–3L
27 Sepvs Varesina4–2W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Apr 2026USD Casatese v Castellanzese1–0
Castellanzese vs USD Casatese head-to-head page →

Serie D Girone D table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Pistoiese11911+1928
2Lentigione11731+824
3Pro Patria11632+721
4Castellanzese11614+819
5USD Casatese11614+119
6Pro Sesto11533+1218
7Cittadella Vis Modena11524+317
8Solbiatese11452+217
9Sant'Angelo11434015
10Crema11434-315
11Città di Varese11353+414
12Pavia11353+314
13Correggese11335-712
14Varesina11254-211
15Coriano11236-59
16Pontedera11218-167
17Arconatese11137-156
18Oltrepò11128-195

More Serie D Girone D predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Castellanzese vs USD Casatese?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.69.

Who will win Castellanzese vs USD Casatese?

On our numbers Castellanzese have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and USD Casatese 37%.

How many goals will there be in Castellanzese vs USD Casatese?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Castellanzese vs USD Casatese?

Our predicted score is Castellanzese 1–1 USD Casatese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Castellanzese vs USD Casatese?

Castellanzese vs USD Casatese (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.