Cittadella Vis Modena 46%Draw 23%Pavia 32%Expected goals 1.18 – 0.90
62%
ZoraTips pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultCittadella Vis Modena to win ✓46% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.99
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.82
Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pavia prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Cittadella Vis Modena v Pavia in the Serie D Girone D – Sunday 8 November, 14:30 WAT. Cittadella Vis Modena sit 7th with 17 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Pavia are 12th on 14 (in the bottom half). The gap is just 3 points, so three points here could swap their places.
Form guide
Cittadella Vis Modena – form over the last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Crema 1–2 on the road. They score 1.0 and concede 0.8 per game.
Pavia – form over the last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Pro Patria 1–0 at home. They score 1.3 and concede 1.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Cittadella Vis Modena 1.2 – 0.9 Pavia in expected goals – roughly 2.1 goals in all. This looks a tight one: under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Cittadella Vis Modena 46% · draw 23% · Pavia 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.99.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Under 2.5 goals, rated at 62% confidence at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Cittadella Vis Modena 1–0 Pavia. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Cittadella Vis Modena46%fair 2.19 · @2.12
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.05
Pavia32%fair 3.16 · @3.20
2.08Expected goals
1.18Cittadella Vis Modena xG
0.90Pavia xG
50%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Cittadella Vis Modena 1.2 – 0.9 Pavia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cittadella Vis Modena to win✓
46%
2.19
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.99
Draw no bet
Cittadella Vis Modena (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Pavia +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
Cittadella Vis Modena to score first✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cittadella Vis Modena / FT Cittadella Vis Modena✓
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
12.82
–
Recent results
Cittadella Vis Modena – last 6
LWDLLW
1 Nov
@ Crema
1–2
L
25 Oct
vs Pistoiese
2–1
W
18 Oct
@ Oltrepò
0–0
D
11 Oct
vs USD Casatese
0–1
L
7 Oct
@ Sasso Marconi Zola
0–1
L
4 Oct
@ Pontedera
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pavia – last 6
WWLDLL
1 Nov
vs Pro Patria
1–0
W
25 Oct
vs USD Casatese
3–1
W
18 Oct
@ Pistoiese
0–1
L
11 Oct
vs Varesina
2–2
D
7 Oct
vs Sant'Angelo
1–3
L
4 Oct
@ Correggese
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cittadella Vis Modena and Pavia.
What is the prediction for Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pavia?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pavia?
On our numbers Cittadella Vis Modena have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pavia 32%.
How many goals will there be in Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pavia?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pavia?
Our predicted score is Cittadella Vis Modena 1–0 Pavia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pavia?
Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pavia (Serie D Girone D) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
