Wed 11 Nov

Vitória de Sernache v Atlético CP: numbers & prediction

Liga 3 · Portugal
Vitória de Sernache 26%Draw 23%Atlético CP 51% Expected goals 1.02 – 1.57
70%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.33Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.87 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAtlético CP to win ✓51% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.60

Vitória de Sernache vs Atlético CP prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Vitória de Sernache host Atlético CP in the Liga 3 on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 16:00 WAT. Vitória de Sernache sit 8th with 7 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Atlético CP are 2nd on 20 (in the top four). A 13-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.

Form guide

Vitória de Sernache – form over the last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Lusitano Évora 1911 1–0 on the road. They score 1.0 and concede 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Atlético CP – form over the last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat União Santarém 3–1 at home. 2.3 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Vitória de Sernache 1.0 – 1.6 Atlético CP in expected goals – roughly 2.6 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 46% for over 2.5, 58% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Vitória de Sernache 26% · draw 23% · Atlético CP 51%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.87.
  • Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.87 – we make it 58%, the price implies 53%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 70% confidence at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Vitória de Sernache 1–1 Atlético CP. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Vitória de Sernache26%fair 3.85 · @3.68
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.06
Atlético CP51%fair 1.95 · @1.96
2.59Expected goals
1.02Vitória de Sernache xG
1.57Atlético CP xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: Vitória de Sernache 1.0 – 1.6 Atlético CP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAtlético CP to win ✓51%1.951.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.26
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.731.87 ▲
Draw no betAtlético CP (draw no bet) ✓66%1.51–
Asian handicapVitória de Sernache +1 (Asian handicap)66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.421.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.19
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.131.06
First team to scoreAtlético CP to score first ✓56%1.78–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Atlético CP / FT Atlético CP ✓30%3.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.60–

Recent results

Vitória de Sernache – last 6

WLWWWL
1 Nov@ Lusitano Évora 19111–0W
25 Oct@ União Santarém1–2L
18 Oct@ Brito1–0W
10 Octvs Louletano1–0W
19 Sepvs Varzim2–1W
13 Sep@ Caldas0–2L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Atlético CP – last 6

WDWWWL
31 Octvs União Santarém3–1W
25 Oct@ Louletano2–2D
17 Octvs Vizela1–0W
11 Octvs Caldas4–1W
19 Sepvs Lagoa4–1W
13 Sep@ CF Os Belenenses0–1L
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Vitória de Sernache and Atlético CP.

Vitória de Sernache vs Atlético CP head-to-head page →

Liga 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paredes9711+1122
2Leça9423+214
3AD Marco 099423+114
4Fafe9342+413
5Guimaraes B9333+212
6Varzim9405012
7Vianense9252-111
8Pacos Ferreira9324-411
9São João Ver9234-39
10Trofense9126-125
1CF Os Belenenses9630+1221
2Atlético CP9621+1120
3Oliveirense9342013
4União Santarém9414-413
5Mafra9333+412
6Louletano9324011
7Caldas9324-311
8Vitória de Sernache9216-107
9SC Covilha9144-57
10Lusitano Évora 19119144-57

More Liga 3 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vitória de Sernache vs Atlético CP?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Vitória de Sernache vs Atlético CP?

On our numbers Vitória de Sernache have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atlético CP 51%.

How many goals will there be in Vitória de Sernache vs Atlético CP?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vitória de Sernache vs Atlético CP?

Our predicted score is Vitória de Sernache 1–1 Atlético CP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Vitória de Sernache vs Atlético CP?

Vitória de Sernache vs Atlético CP (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.