Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
2
Value bet: SC Covilha to win @ 3.42 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLouletano to win ✓45% · @1.99
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.06
Louletano vs SC Covilha prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Liga 3 action on Sunday 8 November: Louletano take on SC Covilha from 12:00 WAT. Louletano sit 6th with 11 points from 9 games (in the top half), while SC Covilha are 9th on 7 (in the top half).
Form guide
Louletano – form over the last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to Mafra 1–2 on the road. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.
SC Covilha – form over the last 5: LDDDL Most recently they lost to Caldas 0–1 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Louletano 1.3 – 1.0 SC Covilha in expected goals – roughly 2.3 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 41% for over 2.5, 56% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Louletano 45% · draw 22% · SC Covilha 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.91.
Value angle: SC Covilha to win at 3.42 – we make it 33%, the price implies 29%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 66% confidence at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Louletano 1–1 SC Covilha. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Louletano45%fair 2.23 · @1.99
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.05
SC Covilha33%fair 3.07 · @3.42
2.28Expected goals
1.26Louletano xG
1.01SC Covilha xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Louletano 1.3 – 1.0 SC Covilha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Louletano to win✓
45%
2.23
1.99
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.26
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Louletano (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
SC Covilha +1 (Asian handicap)✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.16
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Louletano to score first✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Louletano / FT Louletano✓
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.06
–
Recent results
Louletano – last 6
LDLLDL
31 Oct
@ Mafra
1–2
L
25 Oct
vs Atlético CP
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs Rio Ave
0–1
L
10 Oct
@ Vitória de Sernache
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ FC Serpa
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs União Santarém
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
SC Covilha – last 6
LDDDLD
1 Nov
vs Caldas
0–1
L
25 Oct
@ CF Os Belenenses
1–1
D
10 Oct
vs Oliveirense
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Lusitano Évora 1911
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Mafra
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs Mortágua
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Louletano and SC Covilha.
What is the prediction for Louletano vs SC Covilha?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Louletano vs SC Covilha?
On our numbers Louletano have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and SC Covilha 33%.
How many goals will there be in Louletano vs SC Covilha?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Louletano vs SC Covilha?
Our predicted score is Louletano 1–1 SC Covilha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Louletano vs SC Covilha?
Louletano vs SC Covilha (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
