Pacos Ferreira vs Trofense prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Pacos Ferreira host Trofense in the Liga 3 on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 21:00 WAT. Pacos Ferreira sit 8th with 11 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Trofense are 10th on 5 (in the top half).
Form guide
Pacos Ferreira – form over the last 5: LWWDD Most recently they lost to Fafe 1–3 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 1.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Trofense – form over the last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to AD Marco 09 0–2 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.
On form, Pacos Ferreira have the edge: 1.5 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Pacos Ferreira 1.8 – 0.7 Trofense in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 45% for over 2.5, 55% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Pacos Ferreira 62% · draw 25% · Trofense 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.93.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Pacos Ferreira 1–0 Trofense. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Pacos Ferreira62%fair 1.60 · @1.69
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.30
Trofense12%fair 8.13 · @4.40
2.48Expected goals
1.79Pacos Ferreira xG
0.69Trofense xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Pacos Ferreira 1.8 – 0.7 Trofense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pacos Ferreira to win✓
62%
1.60
1.69 ▲
Double chance
Pacos Ferreira or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Pacos Ferreira (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Pacos Ferreira -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.66
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Pacos Ferreira to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Pacos Ferreira ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pacos Ferreira / FT Pacos Ferreira✓
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.81
–
Recent results
Pacos Ferreira – last 6
LWWDDD
30 Oct
@ Fafe
1–3
L
23 Oct
vs Leça
1–0
W
11 Oct
@ Guimaraes B
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs São João Ver
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Vianense
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Fafe
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Trofense – last 6
LLDLDL
31 Oct
vs AD Marco 09
0–2
L
24 Oct
@ Paredes
0–4
L
11 Oct
@ Fafe
2–2
D
12 Sep
vs Leça
1–4
L
5 Sep
@ Guimaraes B
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Varzim
1–5
L
0.7Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pacos Ferreira and Trofense.
What is the prediction for Pacos Ferreira vs Trofense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Pacos Ferreira vs Trofense?
On our numbers Pacos Ferreira have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Trofense 12%.
How many goals will there be in Pacos Ferreira vs Trofense?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pacos Ferreira vs Trofense?
Our predicted score is Pacos Ferreira 1–0 Trofense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Pacos Ferreira vs Trofense?
Pacos Ferreira vs Trofense (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.