Wed 11 Nov

Pacos Ferreira v Trofense: numbers & prediction

Liga 3 · Portugal
4–3
FT
Pacos Ferreira 62%Draw 25%Trofense 12% Expected goals 1.79 – 0.69
75%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultPacos Ferreira to win ✓62% · @1.69
Double chancePacos Ferreira or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.81

Pacos Ferreira vs Trofense prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Pacos Ferreira host Trofense in the Liga 3 on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 21:00 WAT. Pacos Ferreira sit 8th with 11 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Trofense are 10th on 5 (in the top half).

Form guide

Pacos Ferreira – form over the last 5: LWWDD Most recently they lost to Fafe 1–3 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 1.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Trofense – form over the last 5: LLDLD Most recently they lost to AD Marco 09 0–2 at home. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up: 0.7 per game.

On form, Pacos Ferreira have the edge: 1.5 points a game against 0.3.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Pacos Ferreira 1.8 – 0.7 Trofense in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 45% for over 2.5, 55% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Pacos Ferreira 62% · draw 25% · Trofense 12%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.93.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Pacos Ferreira 1–0 Trofense. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Pacos Ferreira62%fair 1.60 · @1.69
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.30
Trofense12%fair 8.13 · @4.40
2.48Expected goals
1.79Pacos Ferreira xG
0.69Trofense xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%

From our goals model: Pacos Ferreira 1.8 – 0.7 Trofense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPacos Ferreira to win ✓62%1.601.69 ▲
Double chancePacos Ferreira or draw ✓88%1.141.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.831.93 ▲
Draw no betPacos Ferreira (draw no bet) ✓84%1.20–
Asian handicapPacos Ferreira -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.431.32
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.821.66
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75%1.331.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗89%1.12–
First team to scorePacos Ferreira to score first ✓66%1.51–
Half-time resultPacos Ferreira ahead at half-time ✓45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Pacos Ferreira / FT Pacos Ferreira ✓40%2.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.81–

Recent results

Pacos Ferreira – last 6

LWWDDD
30 Oct@ Fafe1–3L
23 Octvs Leça1–0W
11 Oct@ Guimaraes B1–0W
13 Sepvs São João Ver1–1D
5 Sep@ Vianense2–2D
29 Augvs Fafe0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Trofense – last 6

LLDLDL
31 Octvs AD Marco 090–2L
24 Oct@ Paredes0–4L
11 Oct@ Fafe2–2D
12 Sepvs Leça1–4L
5 Sep@ Guimaraes B0–0D
29 Aug@ Varzim1–5L
0.7Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Pacos Ferreira and Trofense.

Pacos Ferreira vs Trofense head-to-head page →

Liga 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paredes9711+1122
2Leça9423+214
3AD Marco 099423+114
4Fafe9342+413
5Guimaraes B9333+212
6Varzim9405012
7Vianense9252-111
8Pacos Ferreira9324-411
9São João Ver9234-39
10Trofense9126-125
1CF Os Belenenses9630+1221
2Atlético CP9621+1120
3Oliveirense9342013
4União Santarém9414-413
5Mafra9333+412
6Louletano9324011
7Caldas9324-311
8Vitória de Sernache9216-107
9SC Covilha9144-57
10Lusitano Évora 19119144-57

More Liga 3 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pacos Ferreira vs Trofense?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Pacos Ferreira vs Trofense?

On our numbers Pacos Ferreira have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Trofense 12%.

How many goals will there be in Pacos Ferreira vs Trofense?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pacos Ferreira vs Trofense?

Our predicted score is Pacos Ferreira 1–0 Trofense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Pacos Ferreira vs Trofense?

Pacos Ferreira vs Trofense (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.