Thu 12 Nov

Northampton v Gillingham: numbers & prediction

EFL Trophy · England · Sixfields Stadium

Northampton

LLDWL
1–2
FT

Gillingham

LWLDL
Northampton 46%Draw 19%Gillingham 34% Expected goals 1.93 – 1.63
81%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
O2.5

Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.80 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultNorthampton to win ✗46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.58

Northampton vs Gillingham prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Northampton host Gillingham in the EFL Trophy on Tuesday 10 November, kicking off at 20:00 WAT at Sixfields Stadium. Northampton sit 1st with 9 points from 3 games, while Gillingham are 3rd on 3.

Form guide

Northampton – form over the last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to York 0–4 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.

Gillingham – form over the last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Barrow 0–1 at home. They score 1.5 and concede 2.2 per game.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 29 Aug 2026, finished Gillingham 1–1 Northampton.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Northampton 1.9 – 1.6 Gillingham in expected goals – roughly 3.6 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 61% for over 2.5 goals, 63% for GG.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Northampton 46% · draw 19% · Gillingham 34%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.73.
  • Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 1.80 – we make it 61%, the price implies 56%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 81% confidence at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Northampton 1–1 Gillingham. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Northampton46%fair 2.15 · @2.05
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @3.70
Gillingham34%fair 2.93 · @2.88
3.56Expected goals
1.93Northampton xG
1.63Gillingham xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
3–16%
1–05%

From our goals model: Northampton 1.9 – 1.6 Gillingham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNorthampton to win ✗46%2.152.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.241.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.591.73 ▲
Draw no betNorthampton (draw no bet) ✗58%1.74–
Asian handicapGillingham +1 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.231.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓61%1.641.80 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.651.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.301.12
First team to scoreNorthampton to score first ✗53%1.90–
Half-time resultNorthampton ahead at half-time ✗36%2.78–
Half-time / full-timeHT Northampton / FT Northampton ✗28%3.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.58–

Recent results

Northampton – last 6

LLDWLW
7 Nov@ York0–4L
3 Novvs Oldham0–1L
31 Oct@ Accrington ST1–1D
24 Octvs Colchester2–0W
20 Octvs Tranmere0–1L
17 Oct@ Grimsby2–0W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Gillingham – last 6

LWLDLW
7 Novvs Barrow0–1L
31 Oct@ Shrewsbury2–1W
24 Octvs Grimsby1–4L
20 Octvs Port Vale1–1D
17 Oct@ Accrington ST1–3L
13 Octvs Brighton U214–3W
1.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Aug 2026Gillingham v Northampton1–1
Northampton vs Gillingham head-to-head page →

EFL Trophy table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Northampton3300+59
2Walsall3201+15
3Shrewsbury3102-13
4Chelsea U213003-51

More EFL Trophy predictions

League hub
FT Crewe1 Wigan2 141%2.20X22%3.25237%2.88 1.9–1.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 84%@1.20 ✓
FT Mansfield Town3 Chesterfield5 142%2.05X18%4.00240%2.62 2.0–1.9xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.44 ✓
FT Stockport County0 Tranmere0 Pens 4–3 168%1.30X20%5.25212%6.25 2.6–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 71%@1.36 ✗
FT Burton Albion0 Notts County3 132%2.45X19%3.90249%2.25 1.3–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.50 ✗
FT Grimsby0 Nottingham Forest U213 166%1.73X15%3.90220%3.60 2.4–1.2xG 1Grimsby to win 66%@1.73 ✗
FT Huddersfield4 Liverpool U210 165%1.28X16%5.00219%7.00 2.7–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Oxford United4 Cheltenham0 169%1.22X20%6.00211%8.50 2.8–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 72%@1.36 ✓
FT Leicester2 Walsall1 174%1.22X17%6.2528%7.50 3.4–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 81%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Northampton vs Gillingham?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Northampton vs Gillingham?

On our numbers Northampton have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Gillingham 34%.

How many goals will there be in Northampton vs Gillingham?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Northampton vs Gillingham?

Our predicted score is Northampton 1–1 Gillingham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is Northampton vs Gillingham?

Northampton vs Gillingham (EFL Trophy) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Sixfields Stadium.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.