Wed 11 Nov

West Brom v Millwall: numbers & prediction

Championship · England · The Hawthorns
3–0
FT
West Brom 47%Draw 21%Millwall 31% Expected goals 1.60 – 1.24
77%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Millwall to win @ 3.60 – our chance 31% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultWest Brom to win ✓47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.78

West Brom vs Millwall prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Championship action on Saturday 7 November: West Brom take on Millwall at The Hawthorns from 16:00 WAT. West Brom sit 5th with 28 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Millwall are 16th on 18 (in the bottom half).

Form guide

West Brom – form over the last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Southampton 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.7 and concede 1.2 per game.

Millwall – form over the last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Birmingham 0–3 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 1.5 per game.

On form, West Brom have the edge: 1.8 points a game against 1.2.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 10 Apr 2026, finished West Brom 0–0 Millwall.

Goals outlook

Our model projects West Brom 1.6 – 1.2 Millwall in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 53% for over 2.5, 58% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: West Brom 47% · draw 21% · Millwall 31%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.67.
  • Value angle: Millwall to win at 3.60 – we make it 31%, the price implies 28%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 77% confidence at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: West Brom 1–1 Millwall. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

West Brom47%fair 2.11 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.40
Millwall31%fair 3.19 · @3.60
2.85Expected goals
1.60West Brom xG
1.24Millwall xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
2–07%
0–17%
1–27%

From our goals model: West Brom 1.6 – 1.2 Millwall expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWest Brom to win ✓47%2.112.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.721.67
Draw no betWest Brom (draw no bet) ✓60%1.66–
Asian handicapMillwall +1 (Asian handicap) ✗70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.871.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.471.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.201.14
First team to scoreWest Brom to score first ✓53%1.89–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.46–
Half-time / full-timeHT West Brom / FT West Brom ✗27%3.64–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.78–

Recent results

West Brom – last 6

DWDWWL
3 Novvs Southampton1–1D
31 Oct@ West Ham3–1W
24 Oct@ Preston1–1D
17 Octvs Blackburn3–2W
13 Oct@ Wrexham2–1W
10 Octvs Birmingham0–1L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Millwall – last 6

LWLDLW
3 Nov@ Birmingham0–3L
31 Octvs Derby4–1W
24 Oct@ Portsmouth1–2L
17 Octvs Lincoln2–2D
13 Octvs Swansea0–1L
10 Oct@ Preston1–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Apr 2026West Brom v Millwall0–0
West Brom vs Millwall head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Birmingham15852+1429
2Middlesbrough15852+1129
3Stoke City15924+629
4Wolves15843+828
5West Brom15843+828
6Swansea15825+426
7Southampton15843+1424
8QPR15663+624
9West Ham15654+1423
10Sheffield Utd15645+222
11Portsmouth15645+222
12Norwich15708+821
13Blackburn15636-121
14Cardiff15465018
15Wrexham15465-218
16Millwall15537-418
17Bristol City15537-818
18Bolton15528-917
19Charlton15456-1017
20Watford15438-1015
21Lincoln15438-1115
22Burnley15177-910
23Derby15249-1610
24Preston152211-178

More Championship predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for West Brom vs Millwall?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win West Brom vs Millwall?

On our numbers West Brom have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Millwall 31%.

How many goals will there be in West Brom vs Millwall?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for West Brom vs Millwall?

Our predicted score is West Brom 1–1 Millwall, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is West Brom vs Millwall?

West Brom vs Millwall (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at The Hawthorns.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.