Value bet: Stoke City to win @ 3.30 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPortsmouth to win ✗43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.71
Portsmouth vs Stoke City prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Portsmouth v Stoke City in the Championship – Saturday 7 November, 13:30 WAT, Fratton Park. Portsmouth sit 11th with 22 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Stoke City are 3rd on 29 (in the top four).
Form guide
Portsmouth – form over the last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Swansea 3–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.7 and concede 0.8 per game.
Stoke City – form over the last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat Blackburn 2–1 on the road. On their travels they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Portsmouth 1.3 – 1.2 Stoke City in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 45% for over 2.5, 55% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Portsmouth 43% · draw 22% · Stoke City 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Stoke City to win at 3.30 – we make it 35%, the price implies 30%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 76% confidence at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Portsmouth 1–1 Stoke City. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Portsmouth43%fair 2.33 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.30
Stoke City35%fair 2.87 · @3.30
2.51Expected goals
1.34Portsmouth xG
1.17Stoke City xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Portsmouth 1.3 – 1.2 Stoke City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portsmouth to win✗
43%
2.33
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Portsmouth (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Stoke City +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.08
First team to score
Portsmouth to score first✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portsmouth / FT Portsmouth✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.71
–
Recent results
Portsmouth – last 6
WDWDWW
3 Nov
vs Swansea
3–1
W
31 Oct
@ Burnley
0–0
D
24 Oct
vs Millwall
2–1
W
20 Oct
@ Wolves
1–1
D
17 Oct
@ Norwich
1–0
W
14 Oct
vs Sheffield Utd
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Stoke City – last 6
WWDWLW
3 Nov
@ Blackburn
2–1
W
31 Oct
vs Preston
2–0
W
24 Oct
vs Bristol City
0–0
D
17 Oct
@ Derby
1–0
W
13 Oct
vs Middlesbrough
2–3
L
10 Oct
@ Bolton
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portsmouth and Stoke City.
What is the prediction for Portsmouth vs Stoke City?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Portsmouth vs Stoke City?
On our numbers Portsmouth have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Stoke City 35%.
How many goals will there be in Portsmouth vs Stoke City?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portsmouth vs Stoke City?
Our predicted score is Portsmouth 1–1 Stoke City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Portsmouth vs Stoke City?
Portsmouth vs Stoke City (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Fratton Park.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
