Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Birmingham to win @ 1.83 – our chance 61% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBirmingham to win ✓61% · @1.83
Double chanceBirmingham or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.22
Birmingham vs Swansea prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
Championship action on Saturday 7 November: Birmingham take on Swansea from 16:00 WAT. Birmingham sit 1st with 29 points from 15 games (top of the table), while Swansea are 6th on 26 (in the top half). The gap is just 3 points, so three points here could swap their places.
Form guide
Birmingham – form over the last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Millwall 3–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. 2.3 goals per match shows an attack in good shape. 4 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.
Swansea – form over the last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Portsmouth 1–3 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.3 and concede 1.7 per game.
On form, Birmingham have the edge: 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Previous meetings
Their most recent meeting, on 8 Aug 2026, finished Swansea 0–1 Birmingham.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Birmingham 1.9 – 0.8 Swansea in expected goals – roughly 2.7 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 52% for over 2.5, 58% for both teams to score. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Birmingham 61% · draw 25% · Swansea 14%.
Safer play: Birmingham or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Birmingham to win at 1.83 – we make it 61%, the price implies 55%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Birmingham or draw, rated at 86% confidence at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.16, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Birmingham 1–0 Swansea. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Birmingham61%fair 1.65 · @1.83
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.60
Swansea14%fair 7.26 · @4.20
2.75Expected goals
1.91Birmingham xG
0.84Swansea xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Birmingham 1.9 – 0.8 Swansea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Birmingham or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Birmingham vs Swansea?
On our numbers Birmingham have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Swansea 14%.
How many goals will there be in Birmingham vs Swansea?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Birmingham vs Swansea?
Our predicted score is Birmingham 1–0 Swansea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Birmingham vs Swansea?
Birmingham vs Swansea (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
