Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.95Odds
Picks by market
ResultCardiff to win ✓64% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Cardiff vs Burnley prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Cardiff v Burnley in the Championship – Saturday 7 November, 16:00 WAT, Cardiff City Stadium. Cardiff sit 14th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Burnley are 22nd on 10 (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Cardiff – form over the last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with West Ham 3–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are averaging 2.0 goals a game – a real threat going forward.
Burnley – form over the last 5: DDLLD Most recently they drew with QPR 1–1 on the road. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 1.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Cardiff 2.1 – 1.1 Burnley in expected goals – roughly 3.2 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 63% likely and both teams score 64% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Cardiff 64% · draw 14% · Burnley 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.44.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Cardiff to win, rated at 64% confidence at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.56, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Cardiff 2–1 Burnley. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Cardiff64%fair 1.56 · @1.95
Draw14%fair 7.22 · @3.90
Burnley22%fair 4.57 · @3.40
3.23Expected goals
2.14Cardiff xG
1.10Burnley xG
64%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Cardiff 2.1 – 1.1 Burnley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cardiff to win✓
64%
1.56
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.16
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.56
1.44
Draw no bet
Cardiff (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Cardiff -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.67
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.28
First team to score
Cardiff to score first
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Cardiff ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cardiff / FT Cardiff✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.13
–
Recent results
Cardiff – last 6
DLWDWL
4 Nov
vs West Ham
3–3
D
31 Oct
@ Wolves
0–3
L
24 Oct
vs Birmingham
1–0
W
17 Oct
@ Middlesbrough
2–2
D
13 Oct
vs Watford
5–1
W
10 Oct
@ Blackburn
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Burnley – last 6
DDLLDW
3 Nov
@ QPR
1–1
D
31 Oct
vs Portsmouth
0–0
D
24 Oct
@ Lincoln
1–4
L
16 Oct
vs Wolves
1–2
L
13 Oct
vs Charlton
2–2
D
10 Oct
@ Watford
4–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cardiff and Burnley.
Our pick is Cardiff to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Cardiff vs Burnley?
On our numbers Cardiff have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Burnley 22%.
How many goals will there be in Cardiff vs Burnley?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cardiff vs Burnley?
Our predicted score is Cardiff 2–1 Burnley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Cardiff vs Burnley?
Cardiff vs Burnley (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Cardiff City Stadium.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
