Wed 11 Nov

Watford v Middlesbrough: numbers & prediction

Championship · England · Vicarage Road

Watford

WLLWL
0–0
FT
Watford 15%Draw 18%Middlesbrough 67% Expected goals 0.93 – 2.23
67%
ZoraTips pick

Middlesbrough to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultMiddlesbrough to win ✗67% · @1.50
Double chanceMiddlesbrough or draw ✓85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.19

Watford vs Middlesbrough prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Championship action on Saturday 7 November: Watford take on Middlesbrough at Vicarage Road from 16:00 WAT. Watford sit 20th with 15 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Middlesbrough are 2nd on 29 (in the top four). A 14-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.

Form guide

Watford – form over the last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Lincoln 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 2.2 per game.

Middlesbrough – form over the last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Wrexham 0–2 on the road. On their travels they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. 2.3 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.

On form, Middlesbrough have the edge: 2.2 points a game against 1.0.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Watford 0.9 – 2.2 Middlesbrough in expected goals – roughly 3.2 goals in all. Expect chances at both ends – 62% for over 2.5 goals, 59% for GG.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Watford 15% · draw 18% · Middlesbrough 67%.
  • Safer play: Middlesbrough or draw (85%) at 1.14.
  • Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.57.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Middlesbrough to win, rated at 67% confidence at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Watford 0–2 Middlesbrough. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Watford15%fair 6.82 · @6.00
Draw18%fair 5.47 · @4.33
Middlesbrough67%fair 1.49 · @1.50
3.17Expected goals
0.93Watford xG
2.23Middlesbrough xG
59%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–210%
1–210%
0–19%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%

From our goals model: Watford 0.9 – 2.2 Middlesbrough expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMiddlesbrough to win ✗67%1.491.50
Double chanceMiddlesbrough or draw ✓85%1.171.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.681.57
Draw no betMiddlesbrough (draw no bet)82%1.22–
Asian handicapMiddlesbrough -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83%1.211.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗62%1.601.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.701.67
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.291.25
First team to scoreMiddlesbrough to score first ✗68%1.48–
Half-time resultMiddlesbrough ahead at half-time ✗49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Middlesbrough / FT Middlesbrough ✗44%2.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.19–

Recent results

Watford – last 6

WLLWLL
3 Novvs Lincoln1–0W
31 Oct@ Norwich2–3L
24 Oct@ Wolves0–1L
17 Octvs Charlton2–0W
13 Oct@ Cardiff1–5L
10 Octvs Burnley0–4L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Middlesbrough – last 6

LWWDWW
4 Nov@ Wrexham0–2L
31 Octvs Charlton3–0W
23 Oct@ Bolton5–1W
17 Octvs Cardiff2–2D
13 Oct@ Stoke City3–2W
10 Octvs Wolves1–0W
2.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Watford and Middlesbrough.

Watford vs Middlesbrough head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Birmingham15852+1429
2Middlesbrough15852+1129
3Stoke City15924+629
4Wolves15843+828
5West Brom15843+828
6Swansea15825+426
7Southampton15843+1424
8QPR15663+624
9West Ham15654+1423
10Sheffield Utd15645+222
11Portsmouth15645+222
12Norwich15708+821
13Blackburn15636-121
14Cardiff15465018
15Wrexham15465-218
16Millwall15537-418
17Bristol City15537-818
18Bolton15528-917
19Charlton15456-1017
20Watford15438-1015
21Lincoln15438-1115
22Burnley15177-910
23Derby15249-1610
24Preston152211-178

More Championship predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Watford vs Middlesbrough?

Our pick is Middlesbrough to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Watford vs Middlesbrough?

On our numbers Watford have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Middlesbrough 67%.

How many goals will there be in Watford vs Middlesbrough?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Watford vs Middlesbrough?

Our predicted score is Watford 0–2 Middlesbrough, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Watford vs Middlesbrough?

Watford vs Middlesbrough (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Vicarage Road.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.