Wed 11 Nov

Rennes v Lille: numbers & prediction

Ligue 1 · France · Roazhon Park

Rennes

LWDLW
1–2
FT

Lille

DWDLD
Rennes 39%Draw 22%Lille 39% Expected goals 1.51 – 1.50
79%
ZoraTips pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Lille to win @ 2.88 – our chance 39% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultRennes to win ✗39% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.88

Rennes vs Lille prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Rennes host Lille in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 15:00 WAT at Roazhon Park. Rennes sit 8th with 16 points from 10 games (in the top half), while Lille are 2nd on 21 (in the top four).

Form guide

Rennes – form over the last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Nice 2–5 on the road. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. 2.7 goals per match shows an attack in good shape.

Lille – form over the last 5: DWDLD Most recently they drew with BodoGlimt 0–0 on the road. On their travels they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game.

On form, Rennes have the edge: 1.7 points a game against 1.0.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 15 Mar 2026, finished Rennes 1–2 Lille.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Rennes 1.5 – 1.5 Lille in expected goals – roughly 3.0 goals in all. That points to goals: over 2.5 is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Rennes 39% · draw 22% · Lille 39%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.57.
  • Value angle: Lille to win at 2.88 – we make it 39%, the price implies 35%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 79% confidence at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Rennes 1–1 Lille. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Rennes39%fair 2.55 · @2.40
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.40
Lille39%fair 2.57 · @2.88
3.01Expected goals
1.51Rennes xG
1.50Lille xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Rennes 1.5 – 1.5 Lille expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRennes to win ✗39%2.552.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.661.57
Draw no betRennes (draw no bet) ✗50%1.99–
Asian handicapLille +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.261.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.771.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.561.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.231.17
First team to scoreRennes to score first48%2.10–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rennes / FT Rennes ✗22%4.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.88–

Recent results

Rennes – last 6

LWDLWW
31 Oct@ Nice2–5L
25 Octvs Strasbourg3–0W
22 Oct@ Juventus2–2D
18 Oct@ Paris FC3–4L
15 Octvs OFI2–1W
11 Octvs Auxerre4–1W
2.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Lille – last 6

DWDLDL
3 Nov@ BodoGlimt0–0D
30 Octvs Lens1–0W
25 Oct@ Monaco1–1D
21 Octvs Galatasaray2–4L
17 Octvs Stade Brestois 291–1D
13 Oct@ Arsenal0–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Mar 2026Rennes v Lille1–2
Rennes vs Lille head-to-head page →

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain10721+1223
2Lille10631+721
3Paris FC10622+720
4Marseille10604+818
5Lyon10523+617
6Nice10523+317
7Monaco10442+216
8Rennes10514016
9Stade Brestois 2910433+615
10Lorient10433+115
11Lens10415+213
12Toulouse10343+113
13Strasbourg10316-410
14Auxerre10316-1110
15Le Mans10154-78
16Angers10226-108
17Estac Troyes10226-108
18Le Havre10028-132

More Ligue 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rennes vs Lille?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Rennes vs Lille?

On our numbers Rennes have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lille 39%.

How many goals will there be in Rennes vs Lille?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rennes vs Lille?

Our predicted score is Rennes 1–1 Lille, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Rennes vs Lille?

Rennes vs Lille (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Roazhon Park.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.