Wed 11 Nov

Le Havre v Lorient: numbers & prediction

Ligue 1 · France · Stade Océane
0–2
FT

Lorient

LDWWL
Le Havre 35%Draw 22%Lorient 43% Expected goals 1.15 – 1.31
76%
ZoraTips pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultLorient to win ✓43% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.83

Le Havre vs Lorient prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

Le Havre host Lorient in the Ligue 1 on Sunday 8 November, kicking off at 17:15 WAT at Stade Océane. Le Havre sit 18th with 2 points from 10 games (in the bottom three), while Lorient are 10th on 15 (in the bottom half). A 13-point gap separates them – two very different campaigns.

Form guide

Le Havre – form over the last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Paris Saint Germain 1–5 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.2 and concede 2.7 per game.

Lorient – form over the last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Stade Brestois 29 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up: 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

On form, Lorient have the edge: 1.3 points a game against 0.2.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Lorient 0–2 Le Havre.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Le Havre 1.1 – 1.3 Lorient in expected goals – roughly 2.5 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 45% for over 2.5, 59% for both teams to score.

Betting angles

  • Match result chances: Le Havre 35% · draw 22% · Lorient 43%.
  • Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.80.
  • Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.80 – we make it 59%, the price implies 56%.

Our tip before kick-off

Before kick-off we picked Under 3.5 goals, rated at 76% confidence at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Le Havre 1–1 Lorient. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.

Result chances

Le Havre35%fair 2.87 · @3.00
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.30
Lorient43%fair 2.33 · @2.40
2.46Expected goals
1.15Le Havre xG
1.31Lorient xG
59%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Le Havre 1.1 – 1.3 Lorient expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLorient to win ✓43%2.332.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.701.80 ▲
Draw no betLorient (draw no bet) ✓55%1.81–
Asian handicapLe Havre +1 (Asian handicap) ✗76%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.401.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.821.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.321.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.10
First team to scoreLorient to score first ✓49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lorient / FT Lorient ✓23%4.28–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.83–

Recent results

Le Havre – last 6

LLLLLD
30 Octvs Paris Saint Germain1–5L
25 Oct@ Marseille3–4L
18 Octvs Auxerre1–3L
10 Oct@ Lille0–1L
19 Sep@ Toulouse2–3L
12 Sepvs Angers0–0D
1.2Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Lorient – last 6

LDWWLD
31 Octvs Stade Brestois 290–2L
25 Oct@ Angers0–0D
18 Octvs Monaco1–0W
10 Octvs Paris FC1–0W
19 Sep@ Le Mans1–2L
12 Sepvs Toulouse2–2D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Lorient v Le Havre0–2
Le Havre vs Lorient head-to-head page →

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain10721+1223
2Lille10631+721
3Paris FC10622+720
4Marseille10604+818
5Lyon10523+617
6Nice10523+317
7Monaco10442+216
8Rennes10514016
9Stade Brestois 2910433+615
10Lorient10433+115
11Lens10415+213
12Toulouse10343+113
13Strasbourg10316-410
14Auxerre10316-1110
15Le Mans10154-78
16Angers10226-108
17Estac Troyes10226-108
18Le Havre10028-132

More Ligue 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Le Havre vs Lorient?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Le Havre vs Lorient?

On our numbers Le Havre have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lorient 43%.

How many goals will there be in Le Havre vs Lorient?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Le Havre vs Lorient?

Our predicted score is Le Havre 1–1 Lorient, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Le Havre vs Lorient?

Le Havre vs Lorient (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade Océane.

Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.