Value bet: Monaco to win @ 1.67 – our chance 64% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMonaco to win ✗64% · @1.67
Double chanceMonaco or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.17
Le Mans vs Monaco prediction, preview and tip
Match overview
It is Le Mans v Monaco in the Ligue 1 – Sunday 8 November, 17:15 WAT, Stade Marie-Marvingt. Le Mans sit 15th with 8 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Monaco are 7th on 16 (in the top half).
Form guide
Le Mans – form over the last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Estac Troyes 0–2 on the road. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They score 1.0 and concede 2.0 per game.
Monaco – form over the last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat FC Nordsjaelland 2–0 at home. On their travels they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They score 1.5 and concede 1.0 per game.
On form, Monaco have the edge: 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model projects Le Mans 0.9 – 1.9 Monaco in expected goals – roughly 2.8 goals in all. Goals could go either way – 53% for over 2.5, 55% for both teams to score.
Betting angles
Match result chances: Le Mans 16% · draw 20% · Monaco 64%.
Safer play: Monaco or draw (84%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Monaco to win at 1.67 – we make it 64%, the price implies 60%.
Our tip before kick-off
Before kick-off we picked Over 1.5 goals, rated at 77% confidence at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Le Mans 0–2 Monaco. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.
Result chances
Le Mans16%fair 6.16 · @5.25
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @3.80
Monaco64%fair 1.57 · @1.67
2.80Expected goals
0.85Le Mans xG
1.95Monaco xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Le Mans 0.9 – 1.9 Monaco expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monaco to win✗
64%
1.57
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Monaco or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.80
Draw no bet
Monaco (draw no bet)
80%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Monaco -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.14
First team to score
Monaco to score first✓
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Monaco ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monaco / FT Monaco✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.17
–
Recent results
Le Mans – last 6
LDLLWD
31 Oct
@ Estac Troyes
0–2
L
25 Oct
@ Auxerre
1–1
D
16 Oct
vs Toulouse
0–3
L
10 Oct
@ Paris Saint Germain
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Lorient
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Lens
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Monaco – last 6
WLDWLW
5 Nov
vs FC Nordsjaelland
2–0
W
1 Nov
@ Paris FC
1–3
L
25 Oct
vs Lille
1–1
D
22 Oct
vs SC Freiburg
3–0
W
18 Oct
@ Lorient
0–1
L
15 Oct
@ CSKA Sofia
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Le Mans and Monaco.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Le Mans vs Monaco?
On our numbers Le Mans have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Monaco 64%.
How many goals will there be in Le Mans vs Monaco?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Le Mans vs Monaco?
Our predicted score is Le Mans 0–2 Monaco, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Le Mans vs Monaco?
Le Mans vs Monaco (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade Marie-Marvingt.
Numbers from ZoraTips' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
