Lithuania v Liechtenstein: numbers & prediction

Lithuania vs Liechtenstein prediction, preview and tip

Match overview

It is Lithuania v Liechtenstein in the UEFA Nations League – Monday 16 November, 18:00 WAT, Darius and Girėnas Stadium. Lithuania sit 2nd with 4 points from 3 games, while Liechtenstein are 3rd on 1. The gap is just 3 points, so three points here could swap their places.

Form guide

Lithuania – form over the last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Suriname 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They score 1.0 and concede 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that stretch point to a solid back line.

Liechtenstein – form over the last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to Azerbaijan 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up: 0.0 per game.

On form, Lithuania have the edge: 1.3 points a game against 0.2.

Previous meetings

Their most recent meeting, on 24 Sep 2026, finished Liechtenstein 0–2 Lithuania.

Goals outlook

Our model projects Lithuania 1.7 – 0.5 Liechtenstein in expected goals – roughly 2.2 goals in all. This looks a tight one: under 2.5 goals is 55% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more probable outcome. Recent games involving both sides have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

• Match result chances: Lithuania 73% · draw 18% · Liechtenstein 9%.
• Both teams to score: no (61%) at 1.22.
• Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.00 – we make it 55%, the price implies 50%.

ZoraTips prediction

We back Under 3.5 goals, rated at 75% confidence at odds of 1.36, above our fair price of 1.33, which makes it a value price. Predicted score: Lithuania 1–0 Liechtenstein. Graded on the 90-minute score. No tip is certain – 18+ only, stake responsibly.